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Example brief. Made on the live service for an impact investor (a made-up organisation; real data, as of the day it was made). Reviewed example: after generation, 1 passage was reworded to match the cited evidence more closely; figures unchanged.See the other examples →
Kenya and Uganda off-grid energy: capital partners and investment diligence priorities
Kenya, Ugandaoff-grid energy and mini-grids54 evidence cards22 sources consulted51 figures traced to their cardsmade in 1 min 35 s+ Keep watching thisPrioritise Shell Foundation and KCB in Kenya, and Beyond the Grid Fund for Africa (BGFA), Denmark’s off-grid programme and the Electricity Access Scale-up Project in Uganda as partnership leads—not confirmed sources of available capital. These leads are supported by October 2026 IATI reporting, active World Bank projects and earlier donor disbursements. E42E43E26E28 Official development finance mobilised USD 1,639.3 million of private finance across both countries and all sectors in 2024, including USD 401.3 million through guarantees; the data cannot isolate guarantees for off-grid energy or split mobilisation between Kenya and Uganda. E34 A useful investment approach would separate company credit and customer affordability risks from mini-grid licensing, tariff and grid-arrival risks, then seek instruments that cover the specific exposure.
Crisis severity (all crisis types, incl. conflict) and natural-hazard alerts
Retrieved 14 Oct 2026 · ACAPS crisis severity: September 2026 · ACAPS access: Oct 2026 · GDACS alerts: 14 Oct 2025 – 14 Oct 2026
Crisis severity scale (ACAPS, 1–10, all crisis types including conflict; each country is shaded by ACAPS's country rating, or by its most severe crisis where ACAPS gives none)
- Shade: crisis severity (ACAPS), the whole humanitarian crisis
- High6.7Kenya: Drought in ASAL areas of Kenya
- High6.4Uganda: Food Security Crisis in Uganda
- Dots: natural-hazard alerts (GDACS), one per flood, storm, wildfire or earthquake; colour is the need for international help from that event alone, not the overall crisis
- Green22this event alone: international assistance unlikely to be needed; local impact can still be significant
- Orange2this event alone: international assistance may be needed
- Red0this event alone: international assistance likely to be needed
Dots: 24 GDACS alert records plotted in this frame (tap or hover for details); a geographic subset of the evidence card, not an exhaustive disaster count. See the card for the recorded event-start window. Their colour is GDACS's estimate of the need for international humanitarian assistance, not of local severity E51. Outlines: Natural Earth.
Crises tracked by ACAPS E38 E39 · severity 1 to 10, higher is more severe; access constraints 0 to 5, 5 is extreme
- Drought in ASAL areas of Kenya: severity 6.7 of 10, stable; access constraints 1 of 5 (low)
- Food Security Crisis in Uganda : severity 6.4 of 10, new or no trend; access constraints 1 of 5 (low)
- International Displacement to Uganda: severity 6.2 of 10, increasing; access constraints 3 of 5 (high)
- International displacement to Kenya: severity 5.6 of 10, stable; access constraints 2 of 5 (moderate)
- Multiple crises in Kenya: access constraints 2 of 5 (moderate)
- Multiple crises in Uganda: access constraints 3 of 5 (high)
At a glance
Useful for:FundingHumanitarianEconomy and investmentGovernanceRisk and environmentDevelopment needs
Source: ACAPS INFORM Severity ↗ · E38Retrieved 2026-10-14
Source: ACAPS Humanitarian Access ↗ · E39Retrieved 2026-10-14
Source: OECD mobilised private finance ↗ · E34Retrieved 2026-10-14
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook ↗ · E45Retrieved 2026-10-14
USD millions
Source: OECD Creditor Reporting System ↗ · E25Retrieved 2026-10-14Dataset scope: OECD Creditor Reporting System, gross disbursements, current USD millions; recipients KEN, UGA (combined); DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240
Source: OECD Creditor Reporting System ↗ · E25Retrieved 2026-10-14Dataset scope: OECD Creditor Reporting System, gross disbursements, current USD millions; recipients KEN, UGA (combined); DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240
Source: OECD, mobilised private finance for development ↗ · E34Retrieved 2026-10-14Dataset scope: OECD, mobilised private finance for development; recipients Kenya, Uganda (combined); current USD millions
Control of corruption
Regulatory quality
Rule of law
Political stability
Source: World Bank WGI ↗ · E52Retrieved 2026-10-14Dataset scope: World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (absolute scores 0-100, higher is better; perception-based composites with wide margins of error) and World Development Indicators for FDI
How exposed the money is
Computed by the app from the evidence cards it links to, with fixed rules, so two briefs on the same scope say the same thing.
Donor concentration and cuts E54
Computed by the app: OECD CRS gross disbursements in this scope, 2024 (card E25), all official donors USD 289.6m; donors' total net ODA from OECD DAC1 (card E35).
donor's total aid fell more than 10% in the latest provisional year
- 54% Largest donor's share
- 71% Three largest donors' share
- 10% Share from donors whose total aid fell more than 10% (2024→2025) (USD 27.7 m)
- 1% Rough estimate for 2025, not a forecast: less in this scope if those cuts fell evenly (USD 3.8 m)
Exposed: a donor whose total aid fell more than 10% in the OECD's provisional latest year. Rough estimate method: each donor's 2024 aid in this scope, reduced by the same percentage as its total aid fell from 2024 to 2025 in the OECD's provisional figures, summed over donors that fell more than 10%; donors that did not cut count as unchanged. It assumes each donor cut this country as much as its overall aid; in practice donors protect some countries and cut others harder. The OECD's country figures for 2025 will replace it, usually about a year after the year ends. Only the donors listed on the OECD card are assessed; multilateral donors are not in the OECD's donor totals.
Capital is substantial, but the off-grid share is unresolved
Across Kenya and Uganda, official donors disbursed USD 289.6 million in 2024 within the selected energy and banking/financial-services sectors, in current USD. E25 IDA supplied USD 155.9 million, or 54% of that year’s total; EU Institutions supplied USD 34.0 million, Germany USD 16.1 million and France USD 15.5 million. E54 These are broad-sector flows, not an off-grid funding total. E25E54
Private finance mobilised by official development finance in both countries amounted to USD 866.4 million in those selected sectors in 2024, versus USD 107.8 million in 2023. E34 Banking and financial services are included, so this cannot be treated as distributed-energy investment. E34
The mechanism breakdown covers all sectors across both countries: guarantees mobilised USD 401.3 million, direct investment in companies and SPVs USD 786.1 million, credit lines USD 271.1 million, simple co-financing USD 111.0 million and syndicated loans USD 58.8 million in 2024. E34 Guarantee mobilisation increased 23% from 2022 to 2024, but the data identify provider groups rather than individual institutions. E34 This establishes precedent for risk-sharing structures—not a guarantee facility accessible to Savanna or an expected leverage ratio.
Kenya: pursue clean-energy finance and bank channels
- Shell Foundation is the implementing organisation for Gates Foundation’s “Catalyzing Innovative Financing for Clean Energy Assets”, reported in implementation and updated on 12 October 2026, with a planned end in November 2027. E42 This is the most directly relevant current financing lead in the supplied Kenya evidence; its instruments, investees and geographic eligibility need confirmation. E42
- KCB is a candidate lending or co-financing channel: France reported USD 62.6 million for “FINANCEMENT KCB-” and USD 36.6 million for “KCB Climate and 2X” in 2023–2024. E26 These records show bank-channel financing, not an established off-grid lending product or unused lending capacity. E26
- The World Bank lists the Kenya Off-grid Solar Access Project for Underserved Counties, P160009, as active: approved on 26 July 2017 with a USD 150.0 million commitment and a listed closing date of 31 March 2027. E43 Obtain its procurement, subsidy and implementation information before assuming portfolio companies can participate. E43
For policy and market introductions, WWF’s Kenya energy-transition programme has payments recorded in 2021–2025 and a design covering renewable-energy financial flows, policy frameworks and women-led enterprise. It is a potential convening contact rather than an evidenced co-investor. E15
Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment
- Sweden reported USD 5.2 million disbursed to BGFA Uganda in 2023–2024. E28 Its donor-reported design uses results-based incentives for private provision of renewable energy services in underserved off-grid areas. Ask which contracted companies, technologies and payment conditions could align with an investment; the record does not establish an open funding round. E28
- Denmark reports “Creating access to basic and affordable renewable energy outside the national electricity grids in Africa” in implementation in Uganda, updated on 13 October 2026, with a planned end in December 2028. E42 No implementer or amount is supplied, making this a funder-introduction lead to verify. E42
- The World Bank’s Electricity Access Scale-up Project, P166685, is active, approved on 31 March 2022 with a USD 608.0 million commitment and a listed closing date of 30 June 2027. E43 A further access programme, Accelerating Sustainable and Clean Energy Access Transformation in Uganda (P514490), is pipeline only: USD 250.0 million with planned approval on 13 November 2026. E43 Neither amount is available capital for an investor. E43
- EU Institutions reported USD 1.2 million disbursed in 2024 for last-mile electrification support spanning grid and mini-grid components. E29 The description pairs EU support with an AFD concessional loan for grid extension; verify the off-grid delivery channel and current participation terms. E29
Uganda’s electricity-access rate was 55.3% in 2024, against Kenya’s 77.0%. E53 This suggests a larger access deficit in Uganda, but does not establish addressable demand, willingness to pay or viable mini-grid sites. E53
Regulatory and integrity risk: make contracts, not indices, decisive
The World Bank’s perception-based governance scores for 2025 put control of corruption at 31 in Kenya and 26 in Uganda, and regulatory quality at 49 and 45 respectively, on a scale where higher is better. E52 These warrant enhanced diligence, but small differences and national averages should not determine a company-level investment verdict. E52
For Uganda, Norway recorded NOK 22.5 million in payments during 2021–2025 for institutional cooperation between NVE and the Electricity Regulatory Authority, with intended improvements in transparency and predictability. E9 This establishes a regulatory-support relationship, not proof that mini-grid approvals or tariffs are predictable. E9 Germany also reported mini-grid framework support in Uganda and renewable-energy framework support in Kenya in 2023–2024; those historical project descriptions cannot establish today’s rules. E27E31
Require country-specific legal opinions on licensing thresholds, tariff approval and indexation, grid-arrival compensation or interconnection, land rights, import taxes, equipment standards and subsidy enforceability. For each investee, examine beneficial ownership, politically exposed persons, permit intermediaries, procurement controls and payment trails. Do not assume a cross-border company can use identical contracts or subsidy arrangements in both markets.
Economic and delivery risks should shape the financing structure
The IMF’s October 2026 outlook projects 2026 inflation of 6.0% in Kenya and 4.2% in Uganda, and real growth of 4.5% and 6.2% respectively. E45 These national projections do not establish rural customers’ purchasing power; stress-test collections and affordability separately. E45
The IMF projects government debt at 72.9% of GDP in Kenya and 55.1% in Uganda in 2026, with government revenue including grants at 17.2% and 15.4% of GDP. E45 This suggests caution about assuming governments can sustain subsidies or absorb programme obligations. E45 Kenya’s external debt-distress rating was High, with debt judged sustainable, in the assessment published on 1 November 2024; Uganda’s was Moderate on 3 February 2026. E46 Kenya’s older assessment should be checked for an update. E46
For remote-site portfolios, GDACS recorded regional drought alerts affecting Kenya on 21 June 2026 and Uganda on 21 May 2026 at Orange level, indicating possible need for international assistance rather than measured asset losses. E51 This supports site-specific checks on drought-sensitive customer incomes, access routes, equipment resilience and insurance. Match hard-currency financing against local-currency receipts explicitly; the supplied evidence does not quantify exchange-rate or hedging costs.
Current context from the web — search leads, verify before use
Written by a search-grounded model separately from the brief above. Its figures and claims are not checked against the evidence.
Where current reporting differs from the brief
- Web reporting says UECCC had approved about $38.4 million and paid about $33.1 million in Electricity Access Scale-up Project grants by September 2025, qualifying the brief’s warning that its commitment is not available capital; this does not establish investor access.
- Web reporting says BGFA’s Uganda funding rounds are closed and Power Africa has joined the programme, adding a constraint and partner to the brief’s BGFA lead.
- Web reporting says Kenya adopted its National Energy Policy 2025 in 2026, while mini-grid rules remain draft and tariffs were approved for four private sites, adding current policy and regulatory context to the brief’s call for legal diligence.
- Web reporting says AfDB’s Kenya-focused DTB facility combines $5 million in concessional and $5 million in AfDB green-lending loans with guarantees and technical assistance, adding a bank-channel lead to the brief’s KCB focus; it may not finance off-grid projects directly.
Read the full web research (5 sources)
As of October 2026, the clearest shift is toward combining national access targets with results-based support, concessional finance and risk-sharing to make remote-market projects investable. Announcements and approvals below are not evidence that funds have all been disbursed.
- Kenya: Parliament adopted the National Energy Policy 2025 in 2026; it sets universal electricity access as a 2030 goal and promotes renewables and infrastructure modernization, according to Kenya’s Parliament (2026). Kenya’s mini-grid rules remain in draft: EPRA lists a call for comments on draft regulations, while its FY2024/25 statistics report says it approved tariffs for four private mini-grid sites. The policy direction is therefore clearer than the final mini-grid regulatory framework.
- Uganda: The Ministry of Energy’s Energy Policy for Uganda 2023, posted by ERA in November 2024, treats rural access and renewables as policy priorities. ERA’s 2025 notice introduced interim licensing measures for grid-connected solar and wind, but expressly left off-grid licensing under the existing framework.
- Uganda’s largest near-term off-grid financing lever is the World Bank-supported Electricity Access Scale-up Project, implemented through UECCC. A World Bank implementation report says UECCC’s results-based financing launched in November 2024; by September 2025, about $38.4 million in grants had been approved across off-grid solar, productive-use energy and clean cooking, with about $33.1 million paid. The project also provides credit lines, partial-credit and technology-risk guarantees.
- Donor support is increasingly structured around measurable connections and private-market growth. BGFA, established with Swedish support and joined by Power Africa, offers per-connection results-based incentives; its programme targets Uganda, but its funding rounds are closed. The World Bank and AfDB’s Mission 300 framework, launched in 2024 and endorsed by African leaders in January 2025, also counts mini-grid and stand-alone solar connections toward access goals.
- A further shift is toward guarantees and blended lending to mobilize private capital, although not all such facilities directly finance off-grid projects. AfDB’s Kenya-focused DTB facility combines a $5 million SEFA concessional loan with a $5 million AfDB loan for green lending, plus transaction guarantees and technical assistance (AfDB project record; approval timing not stated on the cited page).
Sources
- 𝐄𝐍𝐄𝐑𝐆𝐘 𝐒𝐄𝐂𝐓𝐎𝐑 𝐒𝐄𝐓 𝐅𝐎𝐑 𝐌𝐀𝐉𝐎𝐑 𝐑𝐄𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐌𝐒 𝐀𝐒 𝐍𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐀𝐒𝐒𝐄𝐌𝐁𝐋𝐘 𝐀𝐃𝐎𝐏𝐓𝐒 𝐍𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐄𝐍𝐄𝐑𝐆𝐘 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐈𝐂𝐘 | The Kenyan Parliament Website · official
- Revised Energy Policy for Uganda, 2023 – Electricity Regulatory Authority · official
- World Bank Document · official
- Kenya - Diamond Trust Bank Kenya Limited (DTB-K) –Integrated Facility (Transaction Guarantee Facility-FGT, Line of Credit-LOC and Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa-SEFA) - MapAfrica - African Development Bank Group · official
- Home - BGFA · unverified site, treat with caution
Private finance mobilised by official development finance (OECD) E34
| Mechanism | Trend | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct investment in companies and SPVs | 237.6 | 139.0 | 786.1 | |
| Guarantees | 326.4 | 50.8 | 401.3 | |
| Credit lines | 19.7 | 151.2 | 271.1 | |
| Syndicated loans | 45.2 | 113.7 | 58.8 | |
| Simple co-financing | 34.2 | 23.1 | 111.0 | |
| Shares in investment funds (CIVs) | 18.0 | 16.6 | 11.0 | |
| All mechanisms, all sectors | 681.2 | 494.4 | 1,639.3 | |
| In this brief's sectors (231, 232, 236, 240) | 333.8 | 107.8 | 866.4 | |
| of which by multilateral banks and funds (all sectors) | 475.5 | 285.5 | 600.7 | |
| of which by bilateral donors (DAC) (all sectors) | 205.7 | 208.9 | 1,038.6 |
OECD, mobilised private finance for development; recipients Kenya, Uganda (combined); current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-14. Private money that official donors and development banks brought into projects through guarantees, loans, equity and co-financing. Published for groups of providers only, not per institution. Guarantees: Trend: USD 326.4m in 2022 → USD 401.3m in 2024 (+23%); peak USD 401.3m in 2024. Mechanism and provider-group rows cover ALL sectors; only the explicitly labelled selected-sector subtotal covers this brief's sectors. No sector-level provider split is supplied. Latest amount, absolute increase and percentage growth are different comparisons; the highlighted trend is not a growth ranking.
World Bank projects: pipeline and active E43
| Country | Project | Project ID | Status | Board approval | Commitment (USD m) | Major sectors | Closing date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Second Kenya Fiscal Sustainability and Resilient Growth | P508021 | Active | 2026-06-29 | 750.0 | Agriculture, Fishing and Forestry; Public Administration; Digital Development; Education; Financial Sector; Social Sustainability and Inclusion; Social Protection; Transportation; Industry, Trade and Services | 2027-06-30 |
| Kenya | Housing Finance, Lands and Sustainable Investments | P513352 | Active | 2026-03-20 | 550.0 | Financial Sector | 2031-06-30 |
| Kenya | Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy (GREEN) Program Phase 2 Project | P180465 | Active | 2023-12-26 | 202.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2029-06-30 |
| Kenya | Kenya Jobs and Economic Transformation (KJET) Project | P179381 | Active | 2023-12-11 | 150.0 | Financial Sector; Industry, Trade and Services | 2028-12-31 |
| Kenya | Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy Program | P176698 | Active | 2023-06-15 | 400.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2028-06-30 |
| Kenya | Supporting Access to Finance and Enterprise Recovery (SAFER) | P175017 | Active | 2021-12-08 | 100.0 | Financial Sector | 2026-12-31 |
| Kenya | KTDA Small Hydro Programme of Activities | P160157 | Active | 2019-05-13 | 1.7 | Energy and Extractives | 2026-12-31 |
| Kenya | Kenya: Off-grid Solar Access Project for Underserved Counties | P160009 | Active | 2017-07-26 | 150.0 | Energy and Extractives; Water, Sanitation and Waste Management | 2027-03-31 |
| Uganda | Accelerating Sustainable and Clean Energy Access Transformation in Uganda | P514490 | Pipeline | Planned 2026-11-13 | 250.0 | Energy and Mineral Resources; Social Protection; Water, Sanitation and Waste Management | 2030-06-28 |
| Uganda | Uganda: Uganda-Tanzania Interconnector Project | P513494 | Active | 2026-06-04 | 250.0 | Energy and Mineral Resources; Social Sustainability and Inclusion | 2032-12-31 |
| Uganda | Northern Uganda Social Action Fund IV Project | P179904 | Active | 2025-04-01 | 276.0 | Agriculture, Fishing and Forestry; Financial Sector; Health; Social Protection | 2031-12-31 |
| Uganda | Electricity Access Scale-up Project (EASP) | P166685 | Active | 2022-03-31 | 608.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2027-06-30 |
| Uganda | Uganda Rural Electrification | P159112 | Active | 2016-12-30 | 13.7 | Energy and Extractives | 2026-12-31 |
World Bank Projects API (search.worldbank.org), active and pipeline projects, sectors matching the scope; pipeline first, then newest approvals, up to 10 per country; retrieved 2026-10-14. Commitment is the IBRD/IDA amount plus World Bank grants at approval, not money disbursed. Pipeline projects are plans: dates and amounts change, and some are dropped. A project can span several sectors.
Governance and investment climate E52
| Country | Measure | Score | Year | Score 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Control of corruption | 31 | 2025 | 32 |
| Kenya | Political stability and absence of violence | 46 | 2025 | 46 |
| Kenya | Regulatory quality | 49 | 2025 | 50 |
| Kenya | Government effectiveness | 51 | 2025 | 49 |
| Kenya | Rule of law | 51 | 2025 | 50 |
| Kenya | Voice and accountability | 52 | 2025 | 49 |
| Kenya | FDI net inflows (% of GDP) | 0.8 | 2025 | |
| Uganda | Control of corruption | 26 | 2025 | 26 |
| Uganda | Political stability and absence of violence | 50 | 2025 | 52 |
| Uganda | Regulatory quality | 45 | 2025 | 47 |
| Uganda | Government effectiveness | 46 | 2025 | 43 |
| Uganda | Rule of law | 48 | 2025 | 47 |
| Uganda | Voice and accountability | 39 | 2025 | 43 |
| Uganda | FDI net inflows (% of GDP) | 5.4 | 2025 |
World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (absolute scores 0-100, higher is better; perception-based composites with wide margins of error) and World Development Indicators for FDI; retrieved 2026-10-14. WGI uses an absolute 0-100 scale anchored to fixed reference points, not percentile ranks. Perception-based estimates have uncertainty; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
Talking points
We are looking for risk-sharing that addresses identifiable exposures—customer credit, currency mismatch, construction or subsidy payment—not blended finance as a label.
Reported guarantees mobilised USD 401.3 million across Kenya and Uganda in 2024, but across all sectors. E34 We would like to understand which facilities can actually support distributed-energy companies and on what terms. E34
Questions to ask
- Which guarantee or concessional-finance facilities are accepting eligible off-grid companies in each country, and do they cover credit loss, currency risk, political risk or subsidy-payment delays?
Aggregate mobilisation does not identify an accessible facility or the risks it covers. - Can Shell Foundation’s reported Kenya clean-energy financing activity accommodate external co-investors, and which instruments or investees are eligible? [E42]
It is a directly relevant current lead, but its financing terms are missing. - Are BGFA Uganda payments contractually assigned or pledgeable, and what verification, payment timing and clawback conditions apply? [E28]
Results-based funding supports debt capacity only if its conditions and cash-flow timing can be underwritten. - What rules are legally in force for mini-grid tariffs, licensing and grid arrival in each country, and have any material changes occurred recently?
Historical framework-support projects cannot substitute for current legal diligence. - For each candidate company, what evidence supports collections, customer affordability, local-currency funding availability and permit integrity?
National economic and governance indicators do not establish investee performance.
Next steps
Seek introductory calls with Shell Foundation and KCB in Kenya, and Sweden’s BGFA counterparts and Denmark’s responsible programme team in Uganda; verify current mandates and request instrument terms, eligibility and investee lists. E42E26E28
Obtain implementation and financing documents for Kenya’s P160009 and Uganda’s P166685, and the concept documents for pipeline P514490; identify any company-facing windows and confirm their status. E43
Commission separate Kenyan and Ugandan regulatory opinions and build a permit, tariff, land and integrity checklist for each candidate company.
Request investee-level collections, customer-cohort, subsidy-receivable and currency-mismatch data; model downside cases before selecting a guarantee or concessional tranche.
What would change this advice
- Country-specific and off-grid-specific private-finance mobilisation, named guarantee providers, and accessible facility terms.
- Current binding mini-grid regulations, tariff decisions, grid-arrival protections, taxes and subsidy eligibility in each country.
- Investee operating performance, customer affordability, currency and hedging costs, and confirmed co-investor appetite.
Before you use this brief
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- Talking point Removed: a claim about your organisation that your request does not support
our potential investments
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Our diligence will distinguish electricity-access need from commercially serviceable demand, and will test tariff econom
- Capital is substantial, but the off-grid share is unresolved Source added
Across Kenya and Uganda, official donors disbursed USD 289.6 million in 2024 within the selected energy and banking/financial-services sectors, in current USD.
Open E25 - Capital is substantial, but the off-grid share is unresolved Source added
IDA supplied USD 155.9 million, or 54% of that year’s total; EU Institutions supplied USD 34.0 million, Germany USD 16.1 million and France USD 15.5 million.
Open E54 - Capital is substantial, but the off-grid share is unresolved Source added
Private finance mobilised by official development finance in both countries amounted to USD 866.4 million in those selected sectors in 2024, versus USD 107.8 million in 2023.
Open E34 - Capital is substantial, but the off-grid share is unresolved Source added
The mechanism breakdown covers all sectors across both countries: guarantees mobilised USD 401.3 million, direct investment in companies and SPVs USD 786.1 million, credit lines USD 271.1 million, simple co-financing USD 111.0 million and syndicated loans USD 58.8 million in 2024.
Open E34 - Kenya: pursue clean-energy finance and bank channels Source added
Shell Foundation is the implementing organisation for Gates Foundation’s “Catalyzing Innovative Financing for Clean Energy Assets”, reported in implementation and updated on 12 October 2026, with a planned end in November 2027.
Open E42 - Kenya: pursue clean-energy finance and bank channels Source added
KCB is a candidate lending or co-financing channel: France reported USD 62.6 million for “FINANCEMENT KCB-” and USD 36.6 million for “KCB Climate and 2X” in 2023–2024.
Open E26 - Kenya: pursue clean-energy finance and bank channels Source added
The World Bank lists the Kenya Off-grid Solar Access Project for Underserved Counties, P160009, as active: approved on 26 July 2017 with a USD 150.0 million commitment and a listed closing date of 31 March 2027.
Open E43 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
Sweden reported USD 5.2 million disbursed to BGFA Uganda in 2023–2024.
Open E28 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
Denmark reports “Creating access to basic and affordable renewable energy outside the national electricity grids in Africa” in implementation in Uganda, updated on 13 October 2026, with a planned end in December 2028.
Open E42 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
The World Bank’s Electricity Access Scale-up Project, P166685, is active, approved on 31 March 2022 with a USD 608.0 million commitment and a listed closing date of 30 June 2027.
Open E43 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
Its proposed successor or complementary access programme, P514490, is pipeline only: USD 250.0 million with planned approval on 13 November 2026.
Open E43 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
EU Institutions reported USD 1.2 million disbursed in 2024 for last-mile electrification support spanning grid and mini-grid components.
Open E29 - Uganda: test subsidy-backed access and project alignment Source added
Uganda’s electricity-access rate was 55.3% in 2024, against Kenya’s 77.0%.
Open E53 - Regulatory and integrity risk: make contracts, not indices, decisive Source added
The World Bank’s perception-based governance scores for 2025 put control of corruption at 31 in Kenya and 26 in Uganda, and regulatory quality at 49 and 45 respectively, on a scale where higher is better.
Open E52 - Regulatory and integrity risk: make contracts, not indices, decisive Source added
For Uganda, Norway recorded NOK 22.5 million in payments during 2021–2025 for institutional cooperation between NVE and the Electricity Regulatory Authority, with intended improvements in transparency and predictability.
Open E9 - Economic and delivery risks should shape the financing structure Source added
The IMF’s October 2026 outlook projects 2026 inflation of 6.0% in Kenya and 4.2% in Uganda, and real growth of 4.5% and 6.2% respectively.
Open E45 - Economic and delivery risks should shape the financing structure Source added
The IMF projects government debt at 72.9% of GDP in Kenya and 55.1% in Uganda in 2026, with government revenue including grants at 17.2% and 15.4% of GDP.
Open E45 - Economic and delivery risks should shape the financing structure Source added
Kenya’s external debt-distress rating was High, with debt judged sustainable, in the assessment published on 1 November 2024; Uganda’s was Moderate on 3 February 2026.
Open E46 - Talking point 2 Source added
Reported guarantees mobilised USD 401.3 million across Kenya and Uganda in 2024, but across all sectors.
Open E34
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What can change within a week: humanitarian funding and pooled-fund allocations, disaster alerts and newly published activities. Each month: crisis severity and food prices. Once or twice a year: economic outlook, displacement, needs and access. Official aid totals, including Norway's, change about once a year. How often each source updates
Evidence
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Useful for:FundingHumanitarianEconomy and investmentGovernanceRisk and environmentDevelopment needs
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E1 Norwegian disbursements by year · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Year | Disbursed (NOK) | In 2025 kroner | Agreements | Share of all Norwegian aid to these recipients |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 30.2 m | 35.8 m | 12 | 8.1% |
| 2022 | 34.6 m | 38.8 m | 14 | 7.0% |
| 2023 | 43.9 m | 46.6 m | 11 | 7.4% |
| 2024 | 34.0 m | 35.1 m | 10 | 7.8% |
| 2025 | 25.5 m | 25.5 m | 7 | 7.5% |
| Total | 168.2 m | 181.8 m |
Kenya, Uganda; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025. Trend: 30.2 m in 2021 → 25.5 m in 2025 (-16%); peak 43.9 m in 2023. In 2025 kroner, adjusted for inflation with Statistics Norway's consumer price index (annual average, table 08981; retrieved 2026-10-14): 35.8 m in 2021 → 25.5 m in 2025 (-29%); peak 46.6 m in 2023.
E2 Largest agreement partners · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Partner | Type | Disbursed (NOK) | Agreements | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas-alliansen | NGO Norwegian | 52.0 m | 5 | 2021–2025 |
| UEGCL - Uganda Electricity Generation Company Limited | Public sector in developing countries | 37.4 m | 2 | 2021–2023 |
| WWF Norge | NGO Norwegian | 23.9 m | 2 | 2021–2025 |
| ERA - Uganda Electricity Regulatory Authority | Public sector in developing countries | 22.5 m | 1 | 2021–2025 |
| Kam Group AS | Norwegian private sector | 9.6 m | 2 | 2023–2025 |
| Strømmestiftelsen | NGO Norwegian | 7.6 m | 1 | 2021–2023 |
| Uganda Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development | Governments/Ministries in developing countries | 7.5 m | 1 | 2022 |
| PATS - PA Technical Services Ltd. | Private sector in developing countries | 2.5 m | 1 | 2024 |
| KFUK-KFUM Global | NGO Norwegian | 2.2 m | 2 | 2021–2025 |
| Digni | NGO Norwegian | 1.9 m | 2 | 2021–2022 |
| Makerere University | Public sector in developing countries | 930 k | 1 | 2021–2023 |
| Stiftelsen SINTEF | NGO Norwegian | 37 k | 1 | 2025 |
Kenya, Uganda; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025. Agreement partner labels as recorded; not resolved organisation identities.
E3 Channels: who receives the funds · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Partner type | Assistance type | Disbursed (NOK) | Share (rounded; listed groups only) | Agreements |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGO Norwegian | Bilateral | 87.7 m | 52% | 13 |
| Public sector in developing countries | Bilateral | 60.8 m | 36% | 4 |
| Norwegian private sector | Bilateral | 9.6 m | 6% | 2 |
| Governments/Ministries in developing countries | Bilateral | 7.5 m | 4% | 1 |
| Private sector in developing countries | Bilateral | 2.5 m | 1% | 1 |
Kenya, Uganda; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025. Shares use the listed channel groups, not necessarily the entire portfolio. Rounded 100% is not exactly all and rounded 0% is not none; retain nonzero amounts.
E4 What the money is for (sub-sectors) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Sub-sector | Disbursed (NOK) | Agreements |
|---|---|---|
| 40 - Informal/semi-formal financial intermediaries | 63.8 m | 10 |
| 10 - Energy policy and administrative management | 46.4 m | 3 |
| 20 - Hydro-electric power plants | 37.4 m | 2 |
| 30 - Electric power transmission and distribution (centralised grids) | 10.0 m | 2 |
| 10 - Energy generation, renewable sources – multiple technologies | 9.6 m | 2 |
| 81 - Energy education/training | 930 k | 1 |
| 82 - Energy research | 37 k | 1 |
Kenya, Uganda; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025.
E5 Where Norway spends in this sector (recipients) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Recipient | Disbursed (NOK) | Rank among countries |
|---|---|---|
| Global Unspecified | 8,708.4 m | — |
| Ukraine | 8,001.4 m | 1 |
| Moldova | 776.8 m | 2 |
| Africa Regional | 443.5 m | — |
| Mozambique | 443.4 m | 3 |
| Nepal | 398.8 m | 4 |
| Tanzania | 301.0 m | 5 |
| Eastern Africa, regional | 229.4 m | — |
| South of Sahara Regional | 203.6 m | — |
| Uganda | 160.6 m | 6 |
| Kenya | 7.6 m | 29 |
All recipients; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025. 59 recipients in scope. Regional and unallocated lines (e.g. Global Unspecified) are shown but not ranked.
E6 Policy markers (share of disbursements tagged significant or principal) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
| Marker | Share |
|---|---|
| Gender equality | 41% |
| Climate adaptation | 5% |
| Climate mitigation | 47% |
| Disability inclusion | 32% |
Kenya, Uganda; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2021–2025. Donor-reported OECD policy markers; not outcome evidence.
E7 Largest agreement: Together for Inclusion- Uganda · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement RAF-19/0044-15 — "Together for Inclusion- Uganda" in Uganda. Partner: Atlas-alliansen (NGO Norwegian); implementing: NHF - Norges Handikapforbund. Sector: 40 - Informal/semi-formal financial intermediaries. Payments recorded in 2019–2024 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2024, which does not show that it ended); 42.5 m NOK in the selected years; 49.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Increase access to micro finance, savings and loans groups for persons with disabilities, particularly in rural areas
E8 Largest agreement: UEGCL Institutional Support for Hydropower O&M Excellence · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-18/0001 — "UEGCL Institutional Support for Hydropower O&M Excellence" in Uganda. Partner: UEGCL - Uganda Electricity Generation Company Limited (Public sector in developing countries). Sector: 20 - Hydro-electric power plants. Payments recorded in 2019–2023 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2023, which does not show that it ended); 39.9 m NOK in the selected years; 70.0 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Support to UEGCL Hydropower Operation and Maintenance Excellence (HOME) Programme. Expected impact: Improved socio-economic development in Uganda through higher availability and access to electricity. The expected effects of the Programme for the target group are (Outcome): i. UEGCL established as a professional operator of its large hydropower plants ii. Increased competence level of UEGCL operation and maintenance staff
E9 Largest agreement: NVE Capacity Building for Electricity Regulatory Authority (ERA) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-20/0002 — "NVE Capacity Building for Electricity Regulatory Authority (ERA)" in Uganda. Partner: ERA - Uganda Electricity Regulatory Authority (Public sector in developing countries). Sector: 10 - Energy policy and administrative management. Payments recorded in 2021–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 22.5 m NOK in the selected years; 22.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Financial support for Technical Assistance by the Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate (NVE) for Uganda's Electricity Regulatory Authority 2021-24, for safe, efficient, reliable, and sustainable electricity supply in Uganda. The program is primarily aimed at capacity building based on institutional cooperation, through transfer of electricity sector expertise and experience. Planned Outcomes: i) Improved, more effective, transparent and predictable power system; ii) Improved electricity power system operations and quality of supply, with a higher degree of transparency; iiii) Reduction in negative environmental and social impacts of power production and power systems, and improved natural resource sustainability; iv) Awareness of measurements and possibilities for more effective power system.
E10 Largest agreement: Africa Energy Transition - regional coordination (hosted in Uganda) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-20/0240-1 — "Africa Energy Transition - regional coordination (hosted in Uganda)" in Uganda. Partner: WWF Norge (NGO Norwegian); implementing: WWF - local office. Sector: 10 - Energy policy and administrative management. Payments recorded in 2021–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 17.2 m NOK in the selected years; 17.2 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: The programme aims to drive a just transition from coal and charcoal to renewable energy and clean cooking solutions in three African countries, by: • Addressing national policy and regulatory frameworks for energy • Accelerating regional cross-border trade in renewable energy on and off grid • Facilitating the divestment of African and Chinese financial institutions from coal fired power plants and increasing financial flows to renewable energy, including women-led renewable energy enterprise. The project promotes the green energy transition including reduced use of fossile coal.
E11 Largest agreement: KAM Group AS Green fertiliser Uganda feasibility · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-23/0005 — "KAM Group AS Green fertiliser Uganda feasibility" in Uganda. Partner: Kam Group AS (Norwegian private sector). Sector: 10 - Energy generation, renewable sources – multiple technologies. Payments recorded in 2024–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 8.1 m NOK in the selected years; 8.1 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Norad will support financing of KAM Group and Westgass's feasibility studies to investigate the potential to utilise excess hydropower for production of clean hydrogen to b used in the production of fertiliser, with a pilot in Northern Uganda. The studies will involve techno-economic assessments, an environmental and social impact assessment, legal an regulatory processes and engagement with relevant authorities, academia, civil society and vendors / suppliers.
E12 Largest agreement: Improved livelihoods for the rural poor · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-18/0355-24 — "Improved livelihoods for the rural poor" in Uganda. Partner: Strømmestiftelsen (NGO Norwegian); implementing: African Evangelistic Enterprise. Sector: 40 - Informal/semi-formal financial intermediaries. Payments recorded in 2019–2023 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2023, which does not show that it ended); 7.6 m NOK in the selected years; 12.7 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Enhancing income generation through value chain development and economic inclusion
E13 Largest agreement: Electrification of Refugee Settlements in Northen Uganda · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-18/0007 — "Electrification of Refugee Settlements in Northen Uganda" in Uganda. Partner: Uganda Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (Governments/Ministries in developing countries); implementing: Uganda Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development. Sector: 30 - Electric power transmission and distribution (centralised grids). Payments recorded in 2018–2022 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2022, which does not show that it ended); 7.5 m NOK in the selected years; 42.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Agreement with Uganda Government (Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning) regarding electrification of refugee settlemts in Koboko, Yumbe and Adjumani districts in Northern Uganda.
E14 Largest agreement: Collective Action for Disability Rights (CADiR) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-24/0180-34 — "Collective Action for Disability Rights (CADiR)" in Uganda. Partner: Atlas-alliansen (NGO Norwegian); implementing: NHF - Norges Handikapforbund. Sector: 40 - Informal/semi-formal financial intermediaries. Payments recorded in 2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 7.1 m NOK in the selected years; 7.1 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Programme period stated in the description: 2025–2029. Description: The Atlas Alliance 2025-2029 program aims to support the rights and improve the lives of persons with disabilities in developing countries. Civil society strengthening, particularly partnership with local OPDs, is central to the program. Economic Empowerment: Access to micro finance, savings and loans groups for persons with disabilities, particularly in rural areas, training in income generating activities, small grants. Women and girls with disabilities experience discrimination and barriers when it comes to accessing education and employment opportunities, and they have an increased vulnerability to gender-based violence (GBV).The Atlas Alliance works to combat all types of discrimination, violence and harmful practices against women and girls with disabilities, through access to financial services.
E15 Largest agreement: Africa Energy Transition - Kenya · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-20/0240-2 — "Africa Energy Transition - Kenya" in Kenya. Partner: WWF Norge (NGO Norwegian); implementing: WWF - local office. Sector: 10 - Energy policy and administrative management. Payments recorded in 2021–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 6.8 m NOK in the selected years; 6.8 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: The programme aims to drive a just transition from coal and charcoal to renewable energy and clean cooking solutions in three African countries, by: • Addressing national policy and regulatory frameworks for energy • Accelerating regional cross-border trade in renewable energy on and off grid • Facilitating the divestment of African and Chinese financial institutions from coal fired power plants and increasing financial flows to renewable energy, including women-led renewable energy enterprise
E16 Largest agreement: Powerline upgrade Kigwabya Hydro Power Plant · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-24/0001 — "Powerline upgrade Kigwabya Hydro Power Plant" in Uganda. Partner: PATS - PA Technical Services Ltd. (Private sector in developing countries). Sector: 30 - Electric power transmission and distribution (centralised grids). Payments recorded in 2024 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2024, which does not show that it ended); 2.5 m NOK in the selected years; 2.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: PA Technical Services LTD (PATS) has applied for and been awarded Norad financial support for powerline upgrade work required for evacuation of power from Kigwabya Hydro Power Plant under construction in Uganda.
E17 Related project (semantic match): Energy for Development NEA Uganda · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-23/0033-8 — "Energy for Development NEA Uganda" in Uganda. Partner: Miljødirektoratet (Norwegian public sector). Sector: 10 - Environmental policy and administrative management. Payments recorded in 2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 1.9 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Institutional cooperation between Norwegian Environment Agency (NEA) and Ugandan authorities under the Energy for Development Program (EfD). The aim is to strengthen environmental governance of the renewable energy sector through capacity building and regulatory framework support to environmental authorities in Uganda. This will also contribute to climate risk adaptation and prevention. The Energy for Development program aims to strengthen the competence and capacity of national authorities in partner countries, to ensure effective management of the renewable energy sector, energy access for all, and accelerate climate mitigation and adaptation through low-emission energy solutions. Energy for Development provides customized technical cooperation between national authorities in partner countries and Norwegian public institutions. In particular, the program aims to help achieve; a) …
E18 Related project (semantic match): KAM Group AS feasibility study hydrogen P2P Uganda · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-22/0006 — "KAM Group AS feasibility study hydrogen P2P Uganda" in Uganda. Partner: Kam Group AS (Norwegian private sector). Sector: 10 - Energy generation, renewable sources – multiple technologies. Payments recorded in 2023–2024 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2024, which does not show that it ended); 1.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Norad will support financing of KAM Group and Westgass's feasibility studies to investigate the potential for power-to-power through green hydrogen electrification, with a pilot in Northern Uganda. The studies will involve a techno-economic assessment, an overview of regulatory ans safety measures of the West Nile region of Uganda, and assess the needed resources.
E19 Related project (semantic match): Africa Sustainable Investment and Infrastructure Programme - Kenya · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-20/0240-11 — "Africa Sustainable Investment and Infrastructure Programme - Kenya" in Kenya. Partner: WWF Norge (NGO Norwegian); implementing: WWF - local office. Sector: 10 - Environmental policy and administrative management. Payments recorded in 2021–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 17.1 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: This programme aims to promote sustainable investment in sustainable infrastructure projects in sub-Saharan Africa, by • Lobbying regional institutions, national governments, companies and financial institutions in China and Africa for better legislation, policies and plans and their implementation, to drive sustainable finance and infrastructure. • Piloting nature-based solution projects and monitoring practices
E20 Related project (semantic match): UEGCL Initial Support · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-16/0010 — "UEGCL Initial Support" in Uganda. Partner: UEGCL - Uganda Electricity Generation Company Limited (Public sector in developing countries). Sector: 20 - Hydro-electric power plants. Payments recorded in 2017–2022 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2022, which does not show that it ended); 12.3 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Support power generation; capacity building and training.
E21 Related project (semantic match): NRGI Developing capacity on extractive sector DRM amid the energy transition - Uganda · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-22/0176-2 — "NRGI Developing capacity on extractive sector DRM amid the energy transition - Uganda" in Uganda. Partner: NRGI - Natural Resource Governance Institute (NGO International). Sector: 14 - Domestic Revenue Mobilisation. Payments recorded in 2022–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 6.1 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: The project aims at efficiently and equitably manage the risks and opportunities of the global energy transition for domestic resource mobilisation (DRM) from the extractive sector, . The overall project’s expected effect(s) on society is/are (Impact): Developing countries have improved financing for national development priorities and the SDGs through increased tax renevue and strengthened social contract. The expected effect for the target group of the project are (Outcome): Outcome 1: Ghana and Uganda efficiently and equitably manage the risks and opportunities of the global energy transition for domestic resource mobilisation from the extractive sector. Outcome 2: Improved international cooperation and south-south collaboration between civil society and media actors on the impacts of energy transition for the extractive sector and domestic resource mobilisation.
E22 Related project (semantic match): NORHED II Socially just and sustainable energy transitions · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement QZA-21/0159-27 — "NORHED II Socially just and sustainable energy transitions" in Kenya. Partner: NTNU - Norges teknisk-naturvitenskapelige universitet (Norwegian public sector); implementing: TU-K - Technical University of Kenya. Sector: 20 - Higher education. Payments recorded in 2021–2025 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates); 3.5 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: This project aims to build capacity and competence through education, research and outreach to secure a regional workforce with the relevant skills set and knowledge required to implement and demand for a just and sustainable low-carbon energy transition agenda. Main objectives of the project are to: develop programs, improve staff competency and capacity, produce more and better research and strengthen gender equality in education and research.
E23 Related project (semantic match): Equity Group Foundation Kenya · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement KEN-17/0008 — "Equity Group Foundation Kenya" in Kenya. Partner: Equity Group Foundation (Private sector in developing countries). Sector: 20 - Agricultural development. Payments recorded in 2018–2024 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2024, which does not show that it ended); 45.7 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Financial Access to SME and rural population in agriculture using technolgy. The project will focus on encouraging women to participate in the program activities in the various parts of the agricultural value chain where women are a significant part of the labour force and should have better access to productive resources such as land, credit and education/training.
E24 Related project (semantic match): Support to Renewable Energy Business Incubator (REBI) · Norwegian development assistance data (bistandsresultater.no)
About this source: Norway's own record of every aid agreement and payment, published by Norad. It is the most detailed source on Norwegian aid; it covers Norway only, so other donors come from the OECD cards.
Trace this: Norad's aid results portal (bistandsresultater.no) ↗
Agreement UGA-16/0012 — "Support to Renewable Energy Business Incubator (REBI)" in Uganda. Partner: Makerere University (Public sector in developing countries). Sector: 81 - Energy education/training. Payments recorded in 2017–2023 (disbursement years in the Norwegian data, not the agreement's start or end dates; no payment recorded after 2023, which does not show that it ended); 7.7 m NOK 2015–2025 total. Description: Vocational training to develop entrepreneurial skills and foster business development and entreneurship within the renewable energy value chain.
E25 Who else funds this: all official donors (OECD CRS) · OECD DAC Creditor Reporting System
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
| Rank of 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 combined, all official donors in scope | Donor | Trend | 2019 (USD m) | 2020 (USD m) | 2021 (USD m) | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) | Share of 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 combined, all official donors in scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | International Development Association [IDA] | 208.2 | 113.3 | 316.6 | 194.2 | 120.3 | 155.9 | 49% | |
| 2 | Japan | 151.6 | 69.1 | 37.7 | 18.2 | 31.8 | 11.6 | 14% | |
| 3 | Germany | 23.1 | 18.5 | 45.4 | 57.3 | 38.5 | 16.1 | 9% | |
| 4 | EU Institutions | 3.4 | 34.6 | 39.0 | 33.3 | 22.8 | 34.0 | 7% | |
| 5 | France | 43.9 | 38.0 | 10.2 | 16.5 | 2.1 | 15.5 | 6% | |
| 6 | African Development Fund [AfDF] | 22.1 | 10.7 | 9.2 | 11.8 | 16.5 | 9.0 | 4% | |
| 7 | United Kingdom | 9.8 | 9.1 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 2% | |
| 8 | OPEC Fund for International Development [OPEC Fund] | 1.3 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 27.7 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2% | |
| 9 | Sweden | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 2% | |
| 10 | Norway | 7.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1% | |
| All official donors | 492.3 | 321.7 | 492.7 | 388.3 | 262.4 | 289.6 | 100% |
OECD Creditor Reporting System, gross disbursements, current USD millions; recipients KEN, UGA (combined); DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; retrieved 2026-10-14. 43 individual donors report in scope. Latest OECD year lags national data. All official donors: Trend: USD 492.3m in 2019 → USD 289.6m in 2024 (-41%); peak USD 492.7m in 2021. International Development Association [IDA]: Trend: USD 208.2m in 2019 → USD 155.9m in 2024 (-25%); peak USD 316.6m in 2021. Japan: Trend: USD 151.6m in 2019 → USD 11.6m in 2024 (-92%); peak USD 151.6m in 2019. Germany: Trend: USD 23.1m in 2019 → USD 16.1m in 2024 (-30%); peak USD 57.3m in 2022. Rank and share use the combined displayed years and all official donors, including multilateral institutions; not a single-year or bilateral-only comparison.
E26 Other donors' largest projects in scope (OECD CRS, 2023 to 2024) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
| Donor | Project | Channel of delivery | Recipient | Disbursed (USD m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Development Association [IDA] | Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy Program | Recipient Government | Kenya | 80.3 |
| International Development Association [IDA] | Electricity Access Scale-up Project (EASP) | Recipient Government | Uganda | 64.0 |
| France | FINANCEMENT KCB- | Banks (in recipient country) (deposit taking corporations ex | Kenya | 62.6 |
| International Development Association [IDA] | Fiscal Sustainability and Inclusive Green Growth (FIGG) Development Policy Operation | Recipient Government | Kenya | 50.0 |
| International Bank for Reconstruction and Development [IBRD] | Fiscal Sustainability and Inclusive Green Growth (FIGG) Development Policy Operation | Recipient Government | Kenya | 50.0 |
| African Development Bank [AfDB] | KENYA MORTGAGE REFINANCE COMPANY (KMRC) | Recipient Government | Kenya | 48.3 |
| France | FINANCEMENT KCB-KCB Climate and 2X | Banks (in recipient country) (deposit taking corporations ex | Kenya | 36.6 |
| International Development Association [IDA] | Uganda Grid Expansion and Reinforcement Project (GERP) | Recipient Government | Uganda | 31.5 |
| Germany | Mezzanine Finance in Biogas power plants | Other non-financial corporations (in third country) | Kenya | 30.2 |
| Germany | Long term debt in Hydro-electric power plants | Other non-financial corporations (in recipient country) | Uganda | 29.9 |
| Germany | Tier II investment in Formal sector financial intermediaries | Banks (in recipient country) (deposit taking corporations ex | Kenya | 26.1 |
| Germany | Long term debt in Formal sector financial intermediaries | Banks (in recipient country) (deposit taking corporations ex | Kenya | 24.3 |
OECD CRS project-level records, gross disbursements 2023 to 2024, current USD millions; recipients KEN, UGA; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; Norway excluded (see the Norwegian data); retrieved 2026-10-14. 432 projects from 46 donors report in scope. Titles and descriptions are donor-reported; a project may cover more than the sector named.
E27 Other donor's project: Promotion of mini-grids for rural electrification (Germany) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: Germany. Channel of delivery: Public corporations (donor govt.). Recipient: Uganda. Purpose: Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies. Disbursed USD 0.2m in 2023 to 2024. Description (donor-reported): ContextUganda has great potential for generating power from renewable sources such as solar, hydro, biomass, and wind. However, only about five per cent of the population has access to any kind of electricity, with around 24 per cent of them accessing electricity for more than four hours per day. Outside the cities, where 70 per cent of the population lives, the rate of electrification is a mere 38 per cent. This presents a major barrier to economic development and poverty reduction.The Government of Uganda seeks to promote private investment for mini grids in Uganda, as they offer a viable solution to insufficient access to electricity. Mini grids can supply reliable and grid-like electricity in most villages where grid extension is unaffordable. The policy and regulatory framework for mini grids however still needs to be developed to enable mini grid projects to reach the necessary sca
E28 Other donor's project: Beyond the Grid Fund for Africa - Beyond the Grid Fund for Africa - Uganda (Sweden) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: Sweden. Channel of delivery: Other multilateral institutions. Recipient: Uganda. Purpose: Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies. Disbursed USD 5.2m in 2023 to 2024. Description (donor-reported): The Beyond the Grid Fund for Africa (BGFA) is a planned expansion and scale up of an innovative, results-based initiative incentivising private sector to provide affordable, efficient, high quality, renewable energy services to underserved people in off-grid rural and peri-urban areas that builds on experience of the Beyond the Grid Fund for Zambia. Sida's proposed support to BGFA includes, Burkina Faso, Liberia, Mozambique, Zambia, Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo. BGFA aims to reach 5-15 million people with clean, renewable and reliable energy services. BGFA is designed to stimulate and accelerate the emergence of new business models for provision of affordable energy access at scale whilst demonstrating sustainability over time. The BGFA particularly supports the objectives of the Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG 7), which aims to ensure access to affordable, reliable, s
E29 Other donor's project: Last mile electrification support project (EU Institutions) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: EU Institutions. Channel of delivery: Third Country Government (Delegated co-operation). Recipient: Uganda. Purpose: Electric power transmission and distribution (centralised grids); Electric power transmission and distribution (isolated mini-grids). Disbursed USD 1.2m in 2024. Description (donor-reported): The project aims to enhance access to clean energy in Uganda, in particular in peri-urban and in rural areas, with an attention on the reduction of gender inequalities. It encompasses the expansion, reinforcement, and densification of the electricity network (grid component) and support for investments in decentralised renewable energy technologies, namely mini-grids (off-grid component). For the grid component, efforts will concentrate on extending and densifying the electricity network, to improve electricity access in peri-urban and rural regions. The EU's contribution is anticipated to cover the costs of last-mile connections for households, enterprises and social services, while a concessional loan from AFD will fund associated grid extension costs. The project is expected to facilitate over 40,000 new connections, benefiting approximately 200,000 people, including vulnerable groups
E30 Other donor's project: African SCENe: Sustainable Community Energy Networks (United Kingdom) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: United Kingdom. Channel of delivery: Private sector in provider country. Recipient: Kenya. Purpose: Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies. Disbursed USD 0.2m in 2024. Description (donor-reported): African SCENe (Sustainable Community Energy Networks) is a 12-month feasibility study that will enable the characterisation and identification of schools within low-income suburban communities in Nairobi that have the potential to become clean energy hubs through innovative business models.These energy hubs will be capable of generating, storing and distributing clean energy for the community they serve, accelerating access to adequate, affordable, and reliable renewable energy in Kenya, whilst enhancing energy awareness and education, The proposed business models will remove the financial and technical burden from the schools, in line with learnings from past projects developed by the partners. Given challenges around grid reliability and supply, African SCENe will investigate how the business model could be defined to co-exist within the existing and future energy structures. Key to th
E31 Other donor's project: Strenghtening the framework conditions for 100 % Renewable Energies (Germany) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: Germany. Channel of delivery: Public corporations (donor govt.). Recipient: Kenya. Purpose: Energy conservation and demand-side efficiency; Energy education/training; Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies; Energy policy and administrative management. Disbursed USD 0.5m in 2024. Description (donor-reported): ContentThe Kenyan Government has set itself the target of giving the entire population access to electricity and generating this electricity entirely from clean energy sources by 2030. Renewable energy sources, such as geothermal energy, hydroelectric power, wind power and photovoltaics, already account for around 90 per cent of electricity generation today. They are environmentally friendly and reduce CO2 emissions, and thus contribute to combating climate change.Further expansion of renewable energies is important for meeting growing energy needs and enabling the development of local industries.However, the legal and technical requirements for the rapid expansion of renewable energies are not yet in place. Kenya needs a plan for economic expansion that avoids overloading its electricity grids.ObjectiveKey conditions have improved for supplying Kenya with electricity produced entirely f
E32 Other donor's project: Improving Affordability and Reliability of Energy Access in Uganda with River Turbines (United Kingdom) · OECD Creditor Reporting System (project-level records)
About this source: The OECD's database of aid activities reported by its Development Assistance Committee members, multilateral organisations and some foundations. It is the standard reference for who gives aid to whom and for what, and most published aid statistics are built from it. Figures arrive about a year after the year ends.
Trace this: OECD CRS dataflow (DSD_CRS@DF_CRS) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
Donor: United Kingdom. Channel of delivery: University, college or other teaching institution, research institute or think-tank. Recipient: Uganda. Purpose: Energy generation, renewable sources - multiple technologies. Disbursed USD 0.2m in 2023. Description (donor-reported): **Improving Affordability and Reliability of Energy Access in Uganda with River Turbines**This study will show how novel hydro-kinetic river turbines can be a valuable addition to the portfolio of solutions that can be used to accelerate energy access and improve the quality of life for poor, rural communities in Uganda.The emergence of small, efficient, free-stream, hydro-kinetic turbines capable of economically generating electricity from the speed of fast-flowing water is a new development. It uses technology transferred from the offshore tidal energy sector, in which the UK has been a world-leader since it began, about twenty years ago. Hydro-kinetic technology is fundamentally different to conventional hydropower that extracts energy from rivers as they drop through a height, or 'head'. Conventional hydropower is cost effective and reliable at a large scale supplying power to nation
E33 Norway's aid through multilateral organisations, attributed to the country (imputed, USD m) · ONE Imputed Multilateral Sectors and OECD DAC2A, via the Development Finance Observatory
About this source: Estimates of where a donor's core contributions to multilateral organisations end up, by country and sector, by ONE and the OECD. They are modelled from each organisation's spending, not reported project by project.
Trace this: ONE: Imputed Multilateral Sectors, methodology ↗ · Development Finance Observatory: sources and licences ↗
| Country | Measure | Trend | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | All sectors (OECD estimate) | 21.48 | 25.16 | 21.06 | 19.05 | 25.46 | |
| Kenya | Sectors in this brief (ONE estimate) | 1.93 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.23 | |
| Kenya | of which Energy policy (231) | 0.15 | 0.68 | 0.88 | 1.09 | 0.90 | |
| Kenya | of which Energy generation, renewable sources (232) | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | |
| Kenya | of which Energy distribution (236) | 1.26 | 0.99 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.19 | |
| Kenya | of which Banking and financial services (240) | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Uganda | All sectors (OECD estimate) | 18.88 | 30.73 | 21.69 | 18.72 | 23.45 | |
| Uganda | Sectors in this brief (ONE estimate) | 0.44 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.28 | |
| Uganda | of which Energy policy (231) | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| Uganda | of which Energy generation, renewable sources (232) | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.02 | |
| Uganda | of which Energy distribution (236) | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Uganda | of which Banking and financial services (240) | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Imputed multilateral ODA from Norway, gross disbursements in current USD millions: all sectors from OECD DAC2A, the brief's sectors from ONE's Imputed Multilateral Sectors (CRS purpose codes starting 231, 232, 236, 240), via the Development Finance Observatory; retrieved 2026-10-14. Modelled estimates: each multilateral organisation's spending in the country is attributed to Norway in proportion to Norway's share of its core funding. Norway did not direct this money to the country. It covers core contributions only, so it does not overlap with the Norwegian agreement data (Norway's own agreements, including funds earmarked through multilaterals). The OECD and ONE totals differ slightly because their methods do. Sector rows are sums of ONE's purpose-code rows, added up by this app.
E34 Private finance mobilised by official development finance (OECD) · OECD, mobilised private finance for development
About this source: The OECD's measure of private money brought in by public development finance, for example through guarantees or co-investment. It is the main reference for blended finance; amounts follow the OECD's attribution rules and are published here for groups of providers.
Trace this: OECD mobilised private finance dataflow (DSD_MOB@DF_MOBILISATION) ↗
| Mechanism | Trend | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct investment in companies and SPVs | 237.6 | 139.0 | 786.1 | |
| Guarantees | 326.4 | 50.8 | 401.3 | |
| Credit lines | 19.7 | 151.2 | 271.1 | |
| Syndicated loans | 45.2 | 113.7 | 58.8 | |
| Simple co-financing | 34.2 | 23.1 | 111.0 | |
| Shares in investment funds (CIVs) | 18.0 | 16.6 | 11.0 | |
| All mechanisms, all sectors | 681.2 | 494.4 | 1,639.3 | |
| In this brief's sectors (231, 232, 236, 240) | 333.8 | 107.8 | 866.4 | |
| of which by multilateral banks and funds (all sectors) | 475.5 | 285.5 | 600.7 | |
| of which by bilateral donors (DAC) (all sectors) | 205.7 | 208.9 | 1,038.6 |
OECD, mobilised private finance for development; recipients Kenya, Uganda (combined); current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-14. Private money that official donors and development banks brought into projects through guarantees, loans, equity and co-financing. Published for groups of providers only, not per institution. Guarantees: Trend: USD 326.4m in 2022 → USD 401.3m in 2024 (+23%); peak USD 401.3m in 2024. Mechanism and provider-group rows cover ALL sectors; only the explicitly labelled selected-sector subtotal covers this brief's sectors. No sector-level provider split is supplied. Latest amount, absolute increase and percentage growth are different comparisons; the highlighted trend is not a growth ranking.
E35 Donors' total aid (net ODA), all recipients (2021 to 2025, 2025 provisional) · OECD DAC1 (includes preliminary data)
About this source: The OECD's headline aid totals for each donor, the source of the yearly figures on aid as a share of national income. It shows a donor's overall trend, not where the money goes.
Trace this: OECD DAC1 dataflow (DSD_DAC1@DF_DAC1) in the OECD Data Explorer ↗
| Donor | Trend | 2021 (USD m) | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) | 2025 (USD m) provisional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 15,767.0 | 16,747.3 | 18,661.9 | 15,245.9 | 13,523.6 | |
| Germany | 32,455.6 | 36,444.6 | 41,253.3 | 33,249.3 | 28,032.0 | |
| EU Institutions | 20,639.1 | 27,165.9 | 37,544.2 | 35,654.1 | 52,904.8 | |
| France | 16,721.9 | 17,560.9 | 15,862.0 | 15,073.8 | 13,905.7 | |
| United Kingdom | 16,277.8 | 15,761.3 | 18,615.7 | 16,269.5 | 16,365.1 | |
| Sweden | 5,937.6 | 5,463.8 | 5,481.9 | 4,829.0 | 5,769.2 | |
| Norway | 4,673.0 | 5,161.0 | 5,292.9 | 4,905.3 | 5,156.8 |
OECD DAC1, net ODA disbursements to all recipients and sectors, current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-14. Shows each donor's overall aid, not its spending in this country or sector. 2025 figures are the OECD's preliminary estimates of aid already disbursed that year (not forecasts) and may be revised. Japan: USD 15,245.9m in 2024 → USD 13,523.6m in 2025 (-11% in one year). Germany: USD 33,249.3m in 2024 → USD 28,032.0m in 2025 (-16% in one year). EU Institutions: USD 35,654.1m in 2024 → USD 52,904.8m in 2025 (+48% in one year). France: USD 15,073.8m in 2024 → USD 13,905.7m in 2025 (-8% in one year). United Kingdom: USD 16,269.5m in 2024 → USD 16,365.1m in 2025 (+1% in one year). The same donors in this country and sector (OECD CRS, gross disbursements; ends earlier): Japan: USD 151.6m in 2019 → USD 11.6m in 2024. Germany: USD 23.1m in 2019 → USD 16.1m in 2024. EU Institutions: USD 3.4m in 2019 → USD 34.0m in 2024. France: USD 43.9m in 2019 → USD 15.5m in 2024. United Kingdom: USD 9.8m in 2019 → USD 12.0m in 2024. Sweden: USD 3.5m in 2019 → USD 11.0m in 2024. Norway: USD 7.2m in 2019 → USD 3.2m in 2024. Measure: net ODA disbursement flows in current USD, not budgets or grant-only funding. Preserve the provisional label on the corresponding observation year.
E36 US foreign assistance by fiscal year (ForeignAssistance.gov), to FY2026 · ForeignAssistance.gov (US government)
About this source: The US government's own record of its foreign assistance: every obligation and payment by country, sector, agency and implementing partner, published much sooner than the OECD's data. It shows the effect of the 2025 US cuts country by country; economic and military aid are kept apart.
Trace this: ForeignAssistance.gov data downloads ↗
| Country | Measure | FY2021 (USD m) | FY2022 (USD m) | FY2023 (USD m) | FY2024 (USD m) | FY2025 (USD m) | FY2026 to date (USD m) | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Disbursed, all economic aid | 622.7 | 768.8 | 873.5 | 800.0 | 627.4 | 138.4 | |
| Kenya | Disbursed, in this brief's sectors | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Kenya | Newly obligated (committed), in this brief's sectors | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Uganda | Disbursed, all economic aid | 638.1 | 691.2 | 697.2 | 559.7 | 504.6 | 103.5 | |
| Uganda | Disbursed, in this brief's sectors | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Uganda | Newly obligated (committed), in this brief's sectors | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
US government obligations and disbursements of economic (non-military) assistance, current USD, from the ForeignAssistance.gov complete dataset (file of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 17:40:59 GMT); loaded 2026-10-14; retrieved 2026-10-14. US fiscal years run October to September; FY2026 is incomplete. Obligations are new commitments; disbursements are payments, often against earlier commitments, so they fall later than obligations. Agencies report with a lag and revise. Sectors use the OECD codes the US assigns, which can differ from the recipient's or the OECD's classification. Military and security assistance is excluded. Partners the US withholds by name (redacted) are left out of the partner list.
E37 Crisis risk: INFORM Risk Index Mid 2026 · INFORM Risk Index (EU Joint Research Centre)
About this source: An index from the European Commission's Joint Research Centre and partners that rates how likely a humanitarian crisis or disaster is to overwhelm a country's capacity to cope. Humanitarian donors and agencies use it to compare countries; it measures structural risk, not current needs.
Trace this: INFORM Risk results and data (EU JRC) ↗
| Country | INFORM Risk Mid 2026 (0-10) | Class | Rank (1 = highest risk) | Hazard & exposure | Vulnerability | Lack of coping capacity | INFORM Risk 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 6.1 | High | 27 of 191 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Uganda | 6.7 | Very high | 19 of 191 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
INFORM Risk Index Mid 2026, EU Joint Research Centre with IASC partners; retrieved 2026-10-14. Scores 0-10, higher means a higher risk that a humanitarian crisis overwhelms national capacity; the earlier score is from the published edition of that year, whose method differed slightly. Kenya: the highest of the three dimensions is Hazard & exposure (6.9); read the score through that dimension. Kenya: INFORM Risk 5.7 in 2022 → 6.1 in Mid 2026 (High → High). Uganda: the highest of the three dimensions is Vulnerability (6.9); read the score through that dimension. Uganda: INFORM Risk 6.0 in 2022 → 6.7 in Mid 2026 (High → Very high).
E38 Humanitarian crisis severity: INFORM Severity - September 2026 · ACAPS INFORM Severity Index (via HDX)
About this source: ACAPS's rating of how severe each ongoing humanitarian crisis is, based on its analysts' review of many sources. It is used to compare crises and to see whether one is getting worse.
Trace this: ACAPS INFORM Severity Index, monthly files on HDX ↗
| Country | Crisis | Drivers | Severity (1-10) | Category | Trend (last 3 months) | Complexity (1-10) | Data reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Drought in ASAL areas of Kenya | Drought/drier conditions | 6.7 | High | Stable | 5.1 | High |
| Uganda | Food Security Crisis in Uganda | Drought/drier conditions | 6.4 | High | new or no trend | 5.0 | Medium |
| Uganda | International Displacement to Uganda | International Displacement | 6.2 | High | Increasing | 5.9 | High |
| Kenya | International displacement to Kenya | International Displacement | 5.6 | Medium | Stable | 4.5 | High |
ACAPS INFORM Severity Index, monthly edition published on the Humanitarian Data Exchange; retrieved 2026-10-14. It rates the severity of ongoing crises (impact, conditions of people affected, complexity); countries without an active crisis are not listed.
E39 Humanitarian access constraints: ACAPS, Oct 2026 · ACAPS Humanitarian Access
About this source: ACAPS's rating of how hard it is for humanitarian organisations to reach people in a crisis, because of insecurity, bureaucratic restrictions or physical obstacles.
Trace this: ACAPS Humanitarian Access dataset ↗
| Country | Crisis | Access constraints (0-5) | Level | People's access to aid | Aid actors' access to people | Security and physical constraints | Strongest constraints |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Multiple crises in Kenya | 2 | Moderate | 3 | 0 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
| Kenya | International displacement to Kenya | 2 | Moderate | 3 | 0 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
| Kenya | Drought in ASAL areas of Kenya | 1 | Low | 0 | 1 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
| Uganda | Multiple crises in Uganda | 3 | High | 3 | 2 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
| Uganda | International Displacement to Uganda | 3 | High | 3 | 2 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
| Uganda | Food Security Crisis in Uganda | 1 | Low | 0 | 1 | 3 | physical constraints (terrain, climate, infrastructure) |
ACAPS Humanitarian Access dataset, Oct 2026 edition (API); retrieved 2026-10-14. Scores 0 (no constraints) to 5 (extreme), from three pillars and nine indicators; countries without a tracked crisis are not listed. Kenya: the most constrained crisis is Multiple crises in Kenya (2 of 5, Moderate). Uganda: the most constrained crisis is Multiple crises in Uganda (3 of 5, High).
E40 Conflict and protest events reported by ACLED, to Sep 2026 · ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project), files on HDX
About this source: A widely used dataset of reported political violence and protests, coded from news, local partners and other sources. Counts depend on reporting, so areas with little coverage may be under-recorded.
Trace this: Kenya - Conflict Events: ACLED's monthly files on HDX (2026-10-09) ↗ · Uganda - Conflict Events: ACLED's monthly files on HDX (2026-10-09) ↗ · ACLED terms of use and attribution policy ↗
| Country | Area | Category | Events Sep 2026 | Fatalities Sep 2026 | Events, 12 months | Fatalities, 12 months | Events, previous 12 months | Fatalities, previous 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | National | Political violence | 110 | 90 | 1,292 | 842 | 1,293 | 821 |
| Kenya | National | Civilian targeting | 63 | 37 | 846 | 523 | 874 | 525 |
| Kenya | National | Demonstrations | 113 | Not reported | 1,666 | Not reported | 1,803 | Not reported |
| Uganda | National | Political violence | 17 | 13 | 299 | 204 | 290 | 200 |
| Uganda | National | Civilian targeting | 14 | 13 | 202 | 155 | 225 | 161 |
| Uganda | National | Demonstrations | 6 | Not reported | 106 | Not reported | 132 | Not reported |
ACLED monthly event counts from ACLED's files on HDX; latest complete month Sep 2026, twelve months Oct 2025–Sep 2026; retrieved 2026-10-14. National and regional figures are sums of ACLED's district rows, added up by this app; the district card lists the districts. Counts are of events reported in news, NGO and local sources and coded by ACLED; fatalities are reported estimates and ACLED does not count them for demonstrations. The three categories overlap (an attack on civilians can also be political violence): never add them. ACLED updates its files weekly and can revise recent months. Source: Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), acleddata.com.
E41 Private foundations in scope (OECD PPFD) · OECD Private Philanthropy for Development (reporting foundations)
About this source: Foundations that report their grants to the OECD in the same format as government donors, among them the largest ones. Useful for comparing peer foundations; most smaller foundations do not report.
Trace this: OECD PPFD: exact scoped aggregate query (CSV) ↗
| Rank | Foundation | Trend | 2019 (USD m) | 2020 (USD m) | 2021 (USD m) | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) | Reported period total (USD m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mastercard Foundation | 25.799 | 29.436 | 25.105 | 55.253 | 36.813 | not reported | 172.406 | |
| 2 | Gates Foundation | 10.578 | 7.220 | 8.296 | 10.041 | 11.519 | 20.752 | 68.406 | |
| 3 | IKEA Foundation | 2.580 | 3.046 | 3.068 | 2.545 | 3.337 | 1.836 | 16.412 | |
| 4 | Bloomberg Family Foundation | not reported | not reported | 2.092 | not reported | 2.700 | 5.400 | 10.192 | |
| 5 | Rockefeller Foundation | 1.540 | 0.213 | 1.131 | 0.150 | not reported | not reported | 3.034 | |
| 6 | Conrad N. Hilton Foundation | not reported | not reported | not reported | 0.650 | 0.175 | 1.000 | 1.825 | |
| 7 | Oak Foundation | not reported | not reported | not reported | 0.175 | 0.127 | 0.100 | 0.401 | |
| 8 | Charity Projects Ltd (Comic Relief) | 0.151 | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | 0.151 | |
| 9 | Citi Foundation | 0.075 | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | 0.075 | |
| 10 | Michael & Susan Dell Foundation | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | not reported | 0.063 | 0.063 |
OECD Private Philanthropy for Development; recipients KEN, UGA; DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; 2019-2024; gross disbursements, current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-14. Top ten by sum of available observations. OECD reporting foundations only, not all private philanthropy; absence is not proof of no activity. Missing observations are not zero. Do not add to official aid, humanitarian funding or mobilised-private-finance totals: scopes may overlap. Project drilldown unavailable; foundation aggregates remain available.
E42 Current activities reported to IATI: who is active now, and through whom · IATI Datastore (activities as published by each organisation)
About this source: The International Aid Transparency Initiative: an open standard under which donors, UN agencies and NGOs publish their own activity data, often more up to date than the OECD's. Completeness and quality depend on each publisher.
Trace this: SSC - FP (2023 - 2027) with Ministry of Climate, Energy and (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Denmark) ↗ · Creating access to basic and affordable renewable energy out (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Denmark) ↗ · CO-Uganda Sida Fair Finance 24-27 (Oxfam Novib) ↗
| Country | Publisher | Activity | Implementing organisations | Start | Planned end | Last updated | IATI identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Denmark | SSC - FP (2023 - 2027) with Ministry of Climate, Energy and Utilities (MCEU) | Not stated | 2023-07-01 | 2027-12-31 | 2026-10-13 | XM-DAC-3-1-288428-36225 |
| Uganda | Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Denmark | Creating access to basic and affordable renewable energy outside the national electricity grids in Africa | Not stated | 2020-11-15 | 2028-12-31 | 2026-10-13 | XM-DAC-3-1-286084-34636 |
| Uganda | Oxfam Novib | CO-Uganda Sida Fair Finance 24-27 | Not stated | 2024-01-01 | 2027-12-31 | 2026-10-13 | NL-KVK-27108436-A-07122-03:UG |
| Kenya | Gates Foundation | Support for Chama Product, Trade Direct (stock financing) and graduation | Stanbic Kenya Foundation | 2024-02-19 | 2027-01-31 | 2026-10-12 | DAC-1601-INV-065292 |
| Kenya | Gates Foundation | Catalyzing Innovative Financing for Clean Energy Assets | Shell Foundation | 2024-12-03 | 2027-11-30 | 2026-10-12 | DAC-1601-INV-074678 |
| Uganda | United Nations Development Programme | Nature Climate Energy and Resilience Programme | Not stated | 2021-01-01 | 2026-12-31 | 2026-10-12 | XM-DAC-41114-PROJECT-00143659 |
| Uganda | United Nations Development Programme | NatureClimateEnergyResilience | Not stated | 2021-01-01 | 2026-12-31 | 2026-10-12 | XM-DAC-41114-OUTPUT-00131695 |
| Kenya | Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada (DFATD) | Advancing gender equality, resilience, opportunity and inclusion worldwide facility | Not stated | 2024-03-27 | 2044-03-27 | 2026-10-12 | CA-3-P013813001 |
| Uganda | Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada (DFATD) | Increasing economic opportunities for youth in Uganda and Tanzania | Not stated | 2025-03-07 | 2029-12-31 | 2026-10-12 | CA-3-P014785001 |
| Kenya, Uganda | Sweden | We Effect 2023- sep 2025 CSO-strategin | Not stated | 2023-03-06 | 2026-12-31 | 2026-10-09 | SE-0-SE-6-15876 |
| Kenya | Sweden | ENERGIA Phase 7 2022-2025 | Not stated | 2022-07-15 | 2027-03-30 | 2026-10-09 | SE-0-SE-6-14681 |
| Kenya, Uganda | Global Innovation Fund | 4G Capital | 4th Generation Capital | 2026-02-11 | Not stated | 2026-10-06 | GB-CHC-1171353-4G |
IATI Datastore, activities in implementation (status 2) in Kenya, Uganda, DAC sectors 231, 232, 236, 240; most recently updated first, at most two per publisher; activities whose planned end has passed or that have no end date and started over five years ago are left out; retrieved 2026-10-14. Published by each organisation to the IATI Standard, usually more current than the OECD but uneven: coverage depends on who publishes, and the same work can be reported by both funder and implementer. Leads to check, not a complete list; amounts are not shown or totalled here and must not be added to OECD or OCHA figures.
E43 World Bank projects: pipeline and active · World Bank Projects API (active and pipeline projects)
About this source: The World Bank's own database of the projects it finances, with approved amounts, dates and status, including projects still in preparation.
Trace this: Second Kenya Fiscal Sustainability and Resilient Growth (P508021) ↗ · Housing Finance, Lands and Sustainable Investments (P513352) ↗ · Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy (GREEN) Program Phase 2 Project (P180465) ↗ · World Bank projects and operations ↗
| Country | Project | Project ID | Status | Board approval | Commitment (USD m) | Major sectors | Closing date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Second Kenya Fiscal Sustainability and Resilient Growth | P508021 | Active | 2026-06-29 | 750.0 | Agriculture, Fishing and Forestry; Public Administration; Digital Development; Education; Financial Sector; Social Sustainability and Inclusion; Social Protection; Transportation; Industry, Trade and Services | 2027-06-30 |
| Kenya | Housing Finance, Lands and Sustainable Investments | P513352 | Active | 2026-03-20 | 550.0 | Financial Sector | 2031-06-30 |
| Kenya | Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy (GREEN) Program Phase 2 Project | P180465 | Active | 2023-12-26 | 202.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2029-06-30 |
| Kenya | Kenya Jobs and Economic Transformation (KJET) Project | P179381 | Active | 2023-12-11 | 150.0 | Financial Sector; Industry, Trade and Services | 2028-12-31 |
| Kenya | Kenya Green and Resilient Expansion of Energy Program | P176698 | Active | 2023-06-15 | 400.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2028-06-30 |
| Kenya | Supporting Access to Finance and Enterprise Recovery (SAFER) | P175017 | Active | 2021-12-08 | 100.0 | Financial Sector | 2026-12-31 |
| Kenya | KTDA Small Hydro Programme of Activities | P160157 | Active | 2019-05-13 | 1.7 | Energy and Extractives | 2026-12-31 |
| Kenya | Kenya: Off-grid Solar Access Project for Underserved Counties | P160009 | Active | 2017-07-26 | 150.0 | Energy and Extractives; Water, Sanitation and Waste Management | 2027-03-31 |
| Uganda | Accelerating Sustainable and Clean Energy Access Transformation in Uganda | P514490 | Pipeline | Planned 2026-11-13 | 250.0 | Energy and Mineral Resources; Social Protection; Water, Sanitation and Waste Management | 2030-06-28 |
| Uganda | Uganda: Uganda-Tanzania Interconnector Project | P513494 | Active | 2026-06-04 | 250.0 | Energy and Mineral Resources; Social Sustainability and Inclusion | 2032-12-31 |
| Uganda | Northern Uganda Social Action Fund IV Project | P179904 | Active | 2025-04-01 | 276.0 | Agriculture, Fishing and Forestry; Financial Sector; Health; Social Protection | 2031-12-31 |
| Uganda | Electricity Access Scale-up Project (EASP) | P166685 | Active | 2022-03-31 | 608.0 | Energy and Extractives | 2027-06-30 |
| Uganda | Uganda Rural Electrification | P159112 | Active | 2016-12-30 | 13.7 | Energy and Extractives | 2026-12-31 |
World Bank Projects API (search.worldbank.org), active and pipeline projects, sectors matching the scope; pipeline first, then newest approvals, up to 10 per country; retrieved 2026-10-14. Commitment is the IBRD/IDA amount plus World Bank grants at approval, not money disbursed. Pipeline projects are plans: dates and amounts change, and some are dropped. A project can span several sectors.
E44 Displacement: people hosted at the end of 2025 (UNHCR year-end count, not a current figure) · UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics
About this source: UNHCR's official statistics on refugees and other forcibly displaced people, compiled from governments and its own operations; the global reference for refugee numbers.
Trace this: UNHCR population API: hosted in KEN, 2025 ↗ · UNHCR population API: hosted in UGA, 2025 ↗ · UNHCR Refugee Data Finder ↗
| Country | End of year | Refugees hosted | Asylum seekers | Internally displaced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 2025 | 617,125 | 218,646 | not reported |
| Uganda | 2025 | 1,936,719 | 35,249 | not reported |
UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics API, end-year figures by country of asylum; retrieved 2026-10-14. Internally displaced counts cover people UNHCR protects or assists and may be zero where it does not report them.
E45 Economic outlook (IMF World Economic Outlook and Fiscal Monitor) · IMF World Economic Outlook
About this source: The IMF's twice-yearly economic figures and forecasts for its member countries, the standard reference for growth, inflation and public debt; revenue comes from its Fiscal Monitor. Forecasts are revised as conditions change.
Trace this: IMF WEO DataMapper: real GDP growth ↗ · IMF WEO DataMapper: inflation ↗ · IMF WEO DataMapper: government debt ↗
| Country | Measure | 2025 | 2026 (projection) | 2027 (projection) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Real GDP growth (%) | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Uganda | Real GDP growth (%) | 6.7 | 6.2 | 9.9 |
| Kenya | Inflation, average consumer prices (%) | 4.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Uganda | Inflation, average consumer prices (%) | 3.6 | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Kenya | Government gross debt (% of GDP) | 71.3 | 72.9 | 73.8 |
| Uganda | Government gross debt (% of GDP) | 53.2 | 55.1 | 54.9 |
| Kenya | Government revenue including grants (% of GDP) | 17.5 | 17.2 | 17.2 |
| Uganda | Government revenue including grants (% of GDP) | 15.0 | 15.4 | 16.1 |
IMF World Economic Outlook (October 2026) (growth, inflation, debt) and Fiscal Monitor (October 2026) (revenue) via the DataMapper API; retrieved 2026-10-14. 2026 and 2027 are IMF projections and are revised twice a year.
E46 Risk of external debt distress (IMF and World Bank debt sustainability analysis) · IMF and World Bank debt sustainability analysis
About this source: Joint IMF and World Bank assessments of whether low-income countries can carry their debt, rated from low risk to in debt distress. They influence how much of the World Bank's IDA support a country gets as grants rather than loans.
Trace this: IMF list of LIC DSAs (as of March 31, 2026) ↗ · IMF-World Bank Debt Sustainability Framework for low-income countries ↗
| Country | Risk of external debt distress | Debt sustainable? | Assessment published | Joint with the World Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | High | Sustainable | 1 Nov 2024 | Yes |
| Uganda | Moderate | Not assessed (only at high risk or in distress) | 3 Feb 2026 | Yes |
IMF, List of LIC DSAs for PRGT-eligible countries, as of March 31, 2026; retrieved 2026-10-14. Ratings come from the latest published debt sustainability analysis for each low-income country and change only when a new one is published, so check the date. Debt sustainability is assessed only for countries at high risk or in debt distress. The list covers countries eligible for the IMF's concessional lending; others are not rated.
E47 External debt and public debt service (World Bank International Debt Statistics) · World Bank International Debt Statistics
About this source: The World Bank's official statistics on low- and middle-income countries' external debt and debt payments, reported by the borrowing countries.
Trace this: World Bank International Debt Statistics ↗ · World Bank data: External debt stocks (USD m) ↗ · World Bank data: External debt stocks (% of GNI) ↗ · World Bank data: Public and publicly guaranteed debt service (USD m) ↗
| Country | Measure | Trend | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | External debt stocks (USD m) | 38,038.5 | 41,219.1 | 41,556.3 | 42,910.0 | 42,886.1 | |
| Kenya | External debt stocks (% of GNI) | 38.0 | 38.1 | 36.9 | 40.4 | 35.0 | |
| Kenya | Public and publicly guaranteed debt service (USD m) | 2,459.9 | 2,081.4 | 2,960.6 | 3,403.9 | 5,289.1 | |
| Uganda | External debt stocks (USD m) | 17,701.6 | 20,671.0 | 21,041.1 | 20,284.8 | 20,534.4 | |
| Uganda | External debt stocks (% of GNI) | 48.1 | 52.1 | 47.2 | 42.7 | 39.2 | |
| Uganda | Public and publicly guaranteed debt service (USD m) | 386.9 | 709.5 | 780.9 | 1,063.4 | 1,279.8 |
World Bank International Debt Statistics via the World Bank API (DT.DOD.DECT.CD, DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS, DT.TDS.DPPG.CD), current USD; retrieved 2026-10-14. Debt stocks are all external debt outstanding at year end (public, publicly guaranteed and private non-guaranteed, including IMF credit). Debt service is principal and interest actually paid on public and publicly guaranteed external debt in the year. The World Bank publishes the statistics once a year, in December.
E48 Who funds climate action here: climate-related development finance by provider (OECD) · OECD Climate-related development finance (recipient perspective)
About this source: The OECD's dataset of development finance for climate adaptation and mitigation from bilateral and multilateral providers, the basis of many climate finance studies. Its counting rules make bilateral totals generous.
Trace this: OECD: development finance for climate and the environment ↗ · OECD CRDF recipient perspective, CRDF-RP_2022.xlsx ↗ · OECD CRDF recipient perspective, CRDF-RP_2023.xlsx ↗ · OECD CRDF recipient perspective, CRDF-RP_2024.xlsx ↗
| Country | Rank | Provider | Provider type | Trend | 2022 (USD m) | 2023 (USD m) | 2024 (USD m) | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1 | International Development Association | Multilateral development bank | 515.3 | 1,008.1 | 230.0 | 29% | |
| Kenya | 2 | United States | DAC member | 132.7 | 200.5 | 406.8 | 12% | |
| Kenya | 3 | International Bank for Reconstruction and Development | Multilateral development bank | 65.6 | 130.0 | 359.5 | 9% | |
| Kenya | 4 | IMF Resilience and Sustainability Trust | Other multilateral | 0.0 | 543.1 | 0.0 | 9% | |
| Kenya | 5 | Korea | DAC member | 4.0 | 298.4 | 21.9 | 5% | |
| Kenya | 6 | Germany | DAC member | 98.8 | 68.5 | 125.3 | 5% | |
| Kenya | 7 | United Kingdom | DAC member | 17.0 | 54.4 | 211.5 | 5% | |
| Kenya | 8 | Italy | DAC member | 10.4 | 1.5 | 250.3 | 4% | |
| Kenya | 9 | France | DAC member | 49.5 | 12.9 | 190.0 | 4% | |
| Kenya | 10 | African Development Bank | Multilateral development bank | 0.0 | 13.8 | 164.4 | 3% | |
| Kenya | 20 | Norway | DAC member | 2.8 | 30.9 | 1.2 | 1% | |
| Kenya | All providers | 1,210.6 | 2,568.3 | 2,311.4 | 100% | |||
| Kenya | All providers: adaptation (includes overlap) | 949.7 | 1,224.2 | 827.6 | ||||
| Kenya | All providers: mitigation (includes overlap) | 575.2 | 1,866.9 | 1,688.2 | ||||
| Kenya | All providers: principal objective or climate component only | 794.2 | 1,477.9 | 1,564.5 | ||||
| Uganda | 1 | International Development Association | Multilateral development bank | 927.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33% | |
| Uganda | 2 | United States | DAC member | 189.0 | 202.4 | 187.2 | 21% | |
| Uganda | 3 | Germany | DAC member | 35.7 | 97.9 | 44.3 | 6% | |
| Uganda | 4 | Korea | DAC member | 6.2 | 2.4 | 169.1 | 6% | |
| Uganda | 5 | Netherlands | DAC member | 40.9 | 38.2 | 84.9 | 6% | |
| Uganda | 6 | EU Institutions (excl. EIB) | DAC member | 2.6 | 90.3 | 50.8 | 5% | |
| Uganda | 7 | Denmark | DAC member | 15.0 | 12.5 | 84.5 | 4% | |
| Uganda | 8 | Islamic Development Bank | Multilateral development bank | 59.0 | 1.1 | 20.0 | 3% | |
| Uganda | 9 | Belgium | DAC member | 6.4 | 14.7 | 30.1 | 2% | |
| Uganda | 10 | IFAD | Other multilateral | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.7 | 2% | |
| Uganda | 11 | Norway | DAC member | 14.6 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 2% | |
| Uganda | All providers | 1,368.3 | 567.4 | 838.0 | 100% | |||
| Uganda | All providers: adaptation (includes overlap) | 616.8 | 477.4 | 675.5 | ||||
| Uganda | All providers: mitigation (includes overlap) | 930.1 | 356.4 | 515.0 | ||||
| Uganda | All providers: principal objective or climate component only | 1,061.1 | 142.2 | 240.0 |
OECD Climate-related development finance, recipient perspective, 2022–2024: commitments in current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-13. Commitments, not disbursements. Bilateral activities count at full value when climate is a principal or significant objective (OECD Rio markers), so the totals are an upper bound; multilateral development banks report only each project's climate component. The 'principal objective or climate component only' row is the stricter measure. Adaptation and mitigation overlap where an activity targets both, so they do not add up to the total. Kenya: USD 1,210.6m in 2022 → USD 2,311.4m in 2024 (+91%); peak USD 2,568.3m in 2023. Uganda: USD 1,368.3m in 2022 → USD 838.0m in 2024 (-39%); peak USD 1,368.3m in 2022.
E49 Largest climate-related commitments in 2024 (OECD) · OECD Climate-related development finance (recipient perspective)
About this source: The OECD's dataset of development finance for climate adaptation and mitigation from bilateral and multilateral providers, the basis of many climate finance studies. Its counting rules make bilateral totals generous.
Trace this: OECD CRDF recipient perspective, CRDF-RP_2024.xlsx ↗
| Country | Provider | Project | Purpose | Climate objective | Instrument | USD m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | International Bank for Reconstruction and Development | FIRST KENYA FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY AND RESILIENT GROWTH | Public Procurement; Public sector policy and administrative management and 7 more | Climate Components | Standard loan | 359.5 |
| Kenya | United States | NEW LOAN: DFC INVESTMENT SUPPORT - DIRECT LOANS | Business development services | Principal, Significant | Standard loan | 220.0 |
| Kenya | Italy | FINANCING FOR THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE KENYAN ECONOMY IN ORDER TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE GASS EMISSIONS AND ACHIEVE CLIMATE TARGETS | Environmental policy and administrative management | Principal | Standard loan | 162.2 |
| Kenya | International Development Association | FIRST KENYA FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY AND RESILIENT GROWTH | Public Procurement; Public sector policy and administrative management and 7 more | Climate Components | Standard loan, Standard grant | 148.0 |
| Kenya | African Development Bank | LAST MILE CONNECTIVITY PROJECT- 3 | Energy policy and administrative management | Climate Components | Standard loan | 107.0 |
| Kenya | United Kingdom | KCB BANK KENYA LTD. | Formal sector financial intermediaries | Significant | Standard loan | 100.3 |
| Kenya | Italy | FINANCING TO ENI KENYA B.V. FOR THE CONSTRUCTION OF 4 AGRI-HUBS TO COLLECT AND PROCESS AGRI FEEDSTOCK FOR BIOFUELS PRODUCTION | Transport policy and administrative management; Agricultural policy and administrative management | Significant | Standard loan | 75.0 |
| Kenya | United States | GLOBAL HEALTH SUPPLY CHAIN - PROCUREMENT AND SUPPLY MANAGEMENT (GSHC-PSM) IDIQ - HIV/AIDS TASK ORDER | STD control including HIV/AIDS | Significant | Standard grant | 65.4 |
| Uganda | Korea | IMPROVEMENT OF MAKERERE UNIVERSITY PROJECT | Vocational training | Significant | Standard loan | 162.0 |
| Uganda | United States | UGANDA HEALTH ACTIVITY (UHA) | Basic nutrition; Family planning and 5 more | Significant | Standard grant | 39.5 |
| Uganda | Denmark | SUSTAINABLE AND DURABLE SOLUTIONS FOR REFUGEES | Agricultural development | Significant, Principal | Standard grant | 37.7 |
| Uganda | Netherlands | IMPACT NO: 24-0000189. KAM - INTEGRATED AND SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION FOR INCLUSIVE RESILIENT ECONOMIES IN BUSOGA AND LANGO SUB-REGIONS | Agricultural development | Significant | Standard grant | 32.4 |
| Uganda | EU Institutions (excl. EIB) | NALUBAALE AND KIIRA HYDROPOWER PLANT REHABILITATION PROJECT | River basins development; Hydro-electric power plants | Principal | Standard grant | 32.4 |
| Uganda | IFAD | LIVESTOCK | Livestock | Climate Components | Standard loan | 30.4 |
| Uganda | Germany | LONG TERM DEBT IN HYDRO-ELECTRIC POWER PLANTS | Hydro-electric power plants | Principal | Standard loan | 29.9 |
| Uganda | Netherlands | PROTECTING SEXUAL REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH AND RIGHTS IN WEST NILE REGION. (PROSPECTS SRHR) | Reproductive health care | Significant | Standard grant | 21.6 |
OECD Climate-related development finance, recipient perspective, 2024; climate-related amount of each commitment, current USD millions; retrieved 2026-10-13. The climate-related amount of each activity as the OECD counts it (the whole activity when climate is a Rio-marked objective; the climate component for multilateral development banks). Titles as reported by the provider.
E50 Human development, poverty and displacement (UNDP, IOM) · UNDP Human Development Report Office and IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix
About this source: UNDP's Human Development Index combines health, education and income into one measure and is the best-known summary of human development; IOM's Displacement Tracking Matrix counts people displaced within their own country in crises.
Trace this: UNDP Human Development Report: data center ↗ · UNDP country data and charts: Kenya ↗ · UNDP country data and charts: Uganda ↗ · UNDP and OPHI global Multidimensional Poverty Index: downloads ↗
| Country | Measure | Value | Year | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Human Development Index (0-1) | 0.628 | 2023 | |
| Kenya | HDI rank | 143 | 2023 | |
| Kenya | Inequality-adjusted HDI (0-1) | 0.456 | 2023 | |
| Kenya | Human development lost to inequality (%) | 27.4% | 2023 | |
| Kenya | Gender Inequality Index (0-1, higher is more unequal) | 0.526 | 2023 | |
| Kenya | People in multidimensional poverty (%) | 25.4% | 2022 (DHS) | |
| Uganda | Human Development Index (0-1) | 0.582 | 2023 | |
| Uganda | HDI rank | 157 | 2023 | |
| Uganda | Inequality-adjusted HDI (0-1) | 0.400 | 2023 | |
| Uganda | Human development lost to inequality (%) | 31.3% | 2023 | |
| Uganda | Gender Inequality Index (0-1, higher is more unequal) | 0.524 | 2023 | |
| Uganda | People in multidimensional poverty (%) | 57.2% | 2016 (DHS) |
UNDP Human Development Report, composite indices time series; UNDP and OPHI global Multidimensional Poverty Index; latest year per measure; retrieved 2026-10-14. The HDI combines life expectancy, schooling and income per person; the inequality-adjusted HDI discounts it for how unequally these are shared. Multidimensional poverty counts people deprived in several of health, education and living standards at once, from the household survey named in the year column. Displacement counts are IOM's latest national round and are shown only where IOM reports one; check the year before comparing. Kenya HDI: 0.570 in 2013 → 0.628 in 2023 (+10%); peak 0.628 in 2023. Uganda HDI: 0.532 in 2013 → 0.582 in 2023 (+9%); peak 0.582 in 2023.
E51 Recent disaster alerts (GDACS, 2025-10-14 to 2026-10-14) · GDACS (UN OCHA and EU Joint Research Centre)
About this source: A UN and European Commission alert system that estimates within hours how serious an earthquake, cyclone, flood or drought may be for people. Alerts are model estimates to guide international response, not damage assessments.
Trace this: GDACS alert archive ↗
| Country | Hazard | Alerts | Highest alert level | Date of highest alert | Latest alert (any level) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Flood | 7 | Green | 2026-09-12 | 2026-09-12 |
| Kenya | Drought | 2 | Orange | 2026-06-21 | 2026-06-21 |
| Kenya | Wildfire | 2 | Green | 2026-09-23 | 2026-09-23 |
| Uganda | Wildfire | 10 | Green | 2026-08-23 | 2026-08-23 |
| Uganda | Flood | 3 | Green | 2026-09-20 | 2026-09-20 |
| Uganda | Drought | 1 | Orange | 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-21 |
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (UN OCHA and EU Joint Research Centre), automatic near-real-time alerts; retrieved 2026-10-14. Colours estimate the need for international humanitarian assistance: Green = unlikely (local impact can still be significant), Orange = possible, Red = likely; one disaster can raise several alerts. Country attribution uses affected-country ISO3; window applies to event start date, not last update. Counts are returned records, not unique disasters; regional records may appear for multiple countries. Map shows only valid coordinates in the displayed frame. Kenya: excluded 1 records without matching country/start date. Kenya orange/red alerts: Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Central African Republic, Cameroon, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Chad (Orange, 2026-06-21); Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda (Orange, 2026-05-21). Uganda orange/red alerts: Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda (Orange, 2026-05-21).
E52 Governance and investment climate · World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators
About this source: The World Bank's composite measures of governance, built from surveys and expert assessments. They are widely used to compare countries, but they measure perceptions and come with margins of error.
Trace this: Worldwide Governance Indicators in the World Bank DataBank ↗ · WDI FDI net inflows (% of GDP) (BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS) ↗
| Country | Measure | Score | Year | Score 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Control of corruption | 31 | 2025 | 32 |
| Kenya | Political stability and absence of violence | 46 | 2025 | 46 |
| Kenya | Regulatory quality | 49 | 2025 | 50 |
| Kenya | Government effectiveness | 51 | 2025 | 49 |
| Kenya | Rule of law | 51 | 2025 | 50 |
| Kenya | Voice and accountability | 52 | 2025 | 49 |
| Kenya | FDI net inflows (% of GDP) | 0.8 | 2025 | |
| Uganda | Control of corruption | 26 | 2025 | 26 |
| Uganda | Political stability and absence of violence | 50 | 2025 | 52 |
| Uganda | Regulatory quality | 45 | 2025 | 47 |
| Uganda | Government effectiveness | 46 | 2025 | 43 |
| Uganda | Rule of law | 48 | 2025 | 47 |
| Uganda | Voice and accountability | 39 | 2025 | 43 |
| Uganda | FDI net inflows (% of GDP) | 5.4 | 2025 |
World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (absolute scores 0-100, higher is better; perception-based composites with wide margins of error) and World Development Indicators for FDI; retrieved 2026-10-14. WGI uses an absolute 0-100 scale anchored to fixed reference points, not percentile ranks. Perception-based estimates have uncertainty; small differences should not be overinterpreted.
E53 Country indicators — Kenya, Uganda · World Bank World Development Indicators
About this source: The World Bank's main collection of development statistics on poverty, health, education and the economy, compiled from national and international sources. It is the common reference for country indicators; the latest years are often missing.
Trace this: Access to electricity (% of population) (EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS) ↗ · GDP per capita (current US$) (NY.GDP.PCAP.CD) ↗ · Population (SP.POP.TOTL) ↗
| Country | Indicator | Value | Year | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | Access to electricity (% of population) | 77.0 | 2024 | |
| Uganda | Access to electricity (% of population) | 55.3 | 2024 | |
| Kenya | GDP per capita (current US$) | 2,363 | 2025 | |
| Uganda | GDP per capita (current US$) | 1,206 | 2025 | |
| Kenya | Population | 57,532,493 | 2025 | |
| Uganda | Population | 51,384,894 | 2025 |
World Bank World Development Indicators, most recent value; retrieved 2026-10-14. Most recent non-empty year differs by indicator. Trend lines cover the reported years of the last ten.
E54 How exposed the money is: donor concentration and cuts (computed from cards E25, E35) · Computed by the app from the cards it names
| Donor or measure | Aid in this scope, 2024 (USD m) | Share | Change in the donor's total aid, 2024→2025 | Exposed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| International Development Association [IDA] | 155.9 | 54% | Not in the OECD totals (multilateral or not reported) | n/a |
| EU Institutions | 34.0 | 12% | +48% | No |
| Germany | 16.1 | 6% | -16% | Yes |
| France | 15.5 | 5% | -8% | No |
| United Kingdom | 12.0 | 4% | +1% | No |
| Japan | 11.6 | 4% | -11% | Yes |
| Sweden | 11.0 | 4% | +19% | No |
| African Development Fund [AfDF] | 9.0 | 3% | Not in the OECD totals (multilateral or not reported) | n/a |
| Norway | 3.2 | 1% | +5% | No |
| OPEC Fund for International Development [OPEC Fund] | 2.1 | 1% | Not in the OECD totals (multilateral or not reported) | n/a |
| Largest donor's share | 54% | |||
| Three largest donors' share | 71% | |||
| Share from donors whose total aid fell more than 10% (2024→2025) | 27.7 | 10% | ||
| Rough estimate for 2025, not a forecast: less in this scope if those cuts fell evenly | 3.8 | 1% |
Computed by the app: OECD CRS gross disbursements in this scope, 2024 (card E25), all official donors USD 289.6m; donors' total net ODA from OECD DAC1 (card E35). Exposed: a donor whose total aid fell more than 10% in the OECD's provisional latest year. Rough estimate method: each donor's 2024 aid in this scope, reduced by the same percentage as its total aid fell from 2024 to 2025 in the OECD's provisional figures, summed over donors that fell more than 10%; donors that did not cut count as unchanged. It assumes each donor cut this country as much as its overall aid; in practice donors protect some countries and cut others harder. The OECD's country figures for 2025 will replace it, usually about a year after the year ends. Only the donors listed on the OECD card are assessed; multilateral donors are not in the OECD's donor totals.
How this brief was made
Scoped as: Identify the funders and co-investment or partnership opportunities in Kenya and Uganda’s off-grid solar and mini-grid markets, quantify private finance mobilised through guarantees and blended finance, and assess the main regulatory, corruption and economic risks.
- Treat the requested countries as Kenya and Uganda; assess each country separately as well as cross-border opportunities.
- Include energy policy, renewable generation, distribution and relevant financing mechanisms.
Data path: Norwegian aid data (bistandsresultater.no), cleaned and reconciled → exact totals and search by meaning over 20k agreement descriptions. Live: OECD CRS (all donors), World Bank WDI, web search.
Timings (s): inform 0.0, governance 0.0, outlook 0.0, indicators 0.12, food_prices 0.0, cbpf 0.02, cerf 0.01, rainfall 0.0, climate_finance 0.0, us_aid 0.43, education 0.0, refugees 0.63, semantic_search 0.78, external_debt 0.56, severity 1.07, private_finance 1.24, imputed_multilateral 0.71, disasters 1.26, iati 1.45, conflict 1.48, needs 1.62, presence 1.78, philanthropy 1.86, humanitarian 2.09, portfolio 2.93, human_development 2.51, debt_risk 4.63, access 4.79, oecd_projects 5.83, oecd 6.59, oecd_totals 6.55, bank_projects 18.54, plan 6.05, web 20.06, web_compare 6.04, compose 63.5, total 95.25.
Trace checks: 0 items to check, listed under Before you use this brief.
Draft for review. Figures come from the evidence cards; highlighted figures could not be traced automatically. Web research is a lead, not verified evidence.